Unless I guess if you want to make sure the trade goes through immediately?
makes it less appealing to some (or many) and less efficient in determining an outcome
yes assassin markets and popular political events can now be traded in the US even if the Augur company gets sanctions, but for everything else this is an inefficient system.
I'm not sure what alternative you are considering to not have that problem, or what it would look like for something to not have that problem.
I gave two examples. One isn't in production yet so we'll see
But in order to do that, wouldn't you also have to know a lot about those people?
If you bet $1 and I bet $50 that could just mean I have a lot more money than you. Or for a million other reasons, I'm pretty likely to have not exactly 50x your conviction. I may even have less conviction than you.
And even this is assuming good faith, because I might have reasons other than "winning" for placing my bet.
What I like about financial/forecasting crypto projects like Pareto Network is that there is no capped upside, and you can still determine the conviction some people have about an outcome
A close runner up is Numerai, given that you can tell the 'confidence' someone has, but the capped upside is arbitrarily capped, and the purpose of the project has nothing to do with censorship resistance and is beholden to the whims of the Numerai hedge fund.