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Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by seanmcdirmid on Thursday August 09, 2018 @12:44PM (#17725807)
I think more than a few districts nationally are already moving to 401ks like private industry is, but paying now is a bitter pill to swallow. And how do you convert existing pensions to a 401k when the money doesn’t really exist?
Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by mateo411 on Thursday August 09, 2018 @12:51PM (#17725910)
It doesn't make sense to do that. You grandfather in the existing pensions, and switch the incoming teachers to a 401K.
Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by Retric on Thursday August 09, 2018 @12:56PM (#17725972)
That means your pension costs don't go down for 30+ years meanwhile your 401k costs keep rising with everyone you add to the 401k system.

The only way to switch is to put more money aside than you 'need' so you have a pool of money to pay for each teachers pension on the day they retire. At that point you can then swap new teachers to 401k's without added costs.

But at that point you understand pensions when fully funded actually cost less than 401k's, assuming similar investments. Because 401k's end up with some dead people having large surplus's and pensions don't.

Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by WkndTriathlete on Thursday August 09, 2018 @01:59PM (#17726686)
> But at that point you understand pensions when fully funded actually cost less than 401k's, assuming similar investments. Because 401k's end up with some dead people having large surplus's and pensions don't.

a) 401(k) and 503(b) plans are expensed and accounted for in the present. You may have the best actuaries in the world but if your current pension-expecting workers beat the odds you're in a world of hurt, even without over-promising and under-funding pension benefits. (No less than Warren Buffett himself famously warned of this problem back in the 1970s, and if there's one thing Buffett knows it's risk assessment and insurance.)

b) 401(k)s are only more expensive than pensions assuming everyone retires at the same age and gets the same benefit on retirement between the two investments. However, as is common, pension retirement age can be as low as age 50. Paying out those pension benefits for those extra 10-15 years (vs. retiring at age 60-65 for 401(k)) probably adds up to paying more for pensions than 401(k)s, especially given that some employees can apparently goose their pension eggs by working overtime in the last few years of employment.

Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by Retric on Thursday August 09, 2018 @02:17PM (#17726894)
A) The problem is not that this is hard, the problem is their are incentives to get it wrong. If you accept saving to much is a net benefit as it reduces future spending, then you can operate very safely.

B) This just comes down to discounting the pension properly or limiting retirement age to 65.

In the real world doing pensions correctly has not worked out. My point is simply they have an innate mathematical advantage not that it's directly applicable.

Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by scarface74 on Thursday August 09, 2018 @12:49PM (#17725886)
In a way they are screwed. The pension system like social security is a pyramid scheme.

But didn’t the private sector basically contribute the value of the pension to the 401K using some type of present value calculation?

Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by germinalphrase on Thursday August 09, 2018 @12:56PM (#17725970)
I know this discussion is focus on California, but for context this is not true in all states. Yes, many states have extremely underfunded pensions (Illinois sounds like a disaster) but others (like neighboring Wisconsin) are fully/nearly fully funded.
Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by mateo411 on Thursday August 09, 2018 @01:48PM (#17726564)
Can you explain why you think that pensions and social security are Pyramid schemes. I view them more like insurance, but maybe you have an insight that I don't have.
Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by gshubert17 on Thursday August 09, 2018 @03:55PM (#17727903)
A social insurance system, in which one generation pays for the previous generation, begins to look more like a pyramid scheme when demographics shift and benefits aren't adjustable downward.
Re:California teacher pension debt overwhelms school budgets by scarface74 on Thursday August 09, 2018 @01:55PM (#17726645)
Current social security taxes go to pay current beneficiaries and any surplus is spent just like any other tax money and the federal government issues IOUs to the SSA. That’s fine as long as thier are enough workers paying taxes to pay beneficiaries. But as the working age population gets smaller and life expectancy gets longer, either the government will have to raise taxes or decrease benefits.

There is one other fix - make immigration easier. But in the current climate, a politician could never suggest that.