No, what I am doing is merely looking at recent data points and suggesting where the trend is going and the motivations of the players involved.

Is the G2 less open than the iPhone? I'm having trouble finding much difference, both are locked to a single version of a single OS controlled by a single third party, the only difference now is app provision. How long until a provider provides their own app store and only their own app store? Months, weeks? Verizon is already working on it. Go on Bing it on your new Droid, once you finish using the undeletable Blockbuster app.