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Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by thaumasiotes on Monday July 16, 2018 @04:11PM (#17544664)
You can do better if you have foreknowledge or retroactive foreknowledge of the outcome of the die roll, which is the obvious suggestion of jtolmar's comment. If I know the recorded outcomes of a sequence of die rolls, I can have models that predict those outcomes to any accuracy I want. But they're not doing it by measuring the uncertainty involved in prospectively rolling the die.

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