Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results didn’t come close

Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by kryptiskt on Monday July 16, 2018 @07:03AM (#17540290)

For example: Croatia got to the final via two penalty shootouts, which is very much like coin flipping.

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Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by fwdpropaganda on Monday July 16, 2018 @08:34AM (#17540773)

Can't you put probabilities on that though? What you said is basically "impossible to predict, because one or the other might score more goals, so it's like coin flipping."

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Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by boomboomsubban on Monday July 16, 2018 @03:11PM (#17544071)

You can put probabilities on it, but the chance a game ends tied is rather high to begin with. 25% of this years knockout games were draws, and a 1/4 chance the game is decided by a coin flip is already enough to ruin predictions.

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