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Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by SRasch on Friday June 29, 2018 @12:27PM (#17425477)
You were said to be a skeptic of quantum computing company d wave. Then you started believing and then went back to skepticism. What is your current status, do you think it works? What would you like to see from them?

Also, what is your take on Max Tegmark's quantum suicide experiment. Would it work? If yes would that imply that each of us should expect to live a really long time subjectively?

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by ScottAaronson on Friday June 29, 2018 @01:30PM (#17426023)
My position on the technical fundamentals never changed much: namely, D-Wave is building devices that could be interesting from various engineering perspectives, but that as far as most of us can tell, are not getting speedups over existing computers that are clearly attributable to quantum computation (as opposed to building special-purpose hardware that's, essentially, very fast at simulating itself). If you want quantum computing speedups, I think you're going to need qubits of much higher quality, and ultimately error correction or at least error mitigation. In principle, D-Wave could do that, and I applaud any steps they take in that direction. However, I'm personally much more excited right now about the experimental efforts in superconducting quantum computing that are happening at Google, IBM, Intel, and Rigetti -- all of which use qubits with orders-of-magnitude better coherence times than D-Wave's qubits. In some sense, D-Wave optimized for being able to say that they had 2000 qubits as quickly as possible, rather than for the qubits actually doing what we want.

On a more sociological level, D-Wave earned a lot of bad blood with the academic QC community by making false, inflated, and overhyped claims (with a primary offender being its founder, Geordie Rose, who's since left the company). And I certainly took them to task for those sorts of things on my blog. Then the D-Wave folks met with me, John Preskill, and other academics, and pledged to improve in how they communicated, so I was nicer to them for a while. Then they went back to egregious hype about speedups that weren't real, so I criticized them again. Nothing more to it than that. :-)

Regarding quantum suicide: no, I do NOT recommend killing yourself any time anything happens in your life that makes you unhappy, on the theory that other versions of you will survive, in other branches of the quantum-mechanical wavefunction where the bad event didn't happen. This is partly because, even assuming you accept the Many-Worlds Interpretation, "your" moral concern and responsibility presumably extend only to those branches that are in "your" future -- you have no contact with the other branches! And partly it's because I take it as almost an axiom of rationality that, if a metaphysical belief leads you to do "obviously insane" things with your life, then it's probably time to look for a better metaphysical belief. :-) (I wouldn't say the same about scientific or mathematical beliefs.)

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by defen on Friday June 29, 2018 @01:43PM (#17426139)
Another problem with the quantum suicide thought experiment is that there are plenty of branches where you end up alive but horribly disabled.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by red75prime on Friday June 29, 2018 @02:07PM (#17426333)
Yet another problem with that is no matter how small the measure of those branches is, you'll end up in them anyway.

The death of natural causes qualifies too.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by martin1975 on Friday June 29, 2018 @01:41PM (#17426112)
Am I hearing this right, you think the whole multiverse concept is... meta-physics at best?
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by AgentME on Friday June 29, 2018 @03:43PM (#17427215)
I think he was saying about whether you should morally care about the other branches counted as meta-physics.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by ScottAaronson on Saturday June 30, 2018 @08:16AM (#17430589)
Yup.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by JakeTyo on Friday June 29, 2018 @02:02PM (#17426271)
You simply can't something 'physics' if its not testable. :)
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by martin1975 on Friday June 29, 2018 @03:51PM (#17427313)
That word 'testable', is very loaded. :) But I get what you mean. Are there things that we can't test that do exist?
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by AgentME on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:45PM (#17428089)
>Are there things that we can't test that do exist?

There's many reasons to believe that objects that exit our light cone continue to exist after they do, even though they could never have any future interaction with us to confirm that. (Say a spaceship leaves Earth at near the speed of light in a straight line, and then enough time passes that the space between the ship and Earth is expanding so fast that the spaceship or any kind of signal from the spaceship would have to travel faster than light to return to Earth, which is impossible. Believing that the spaceship disappears when it exits our light cone requires believing in unnecessarily more complicated physics.)

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by joshuamorton on Friday June 29, 2018 @04:42PM (#17427700)
Scientifically speaking, no. A scientific hypothesis must be falsifiable, and to be falsifiable it must be testable. I guess in some sense you could claim that there are hypothesis that are testable, but which we do not have the capacity to test. But then, is the claim that "one day in the future, we will be able to test this other claim" itself falsifiable? I'd argue not (it's a recognizable, not decidable claim, in the computational sense, and I think that for a claim to be falsifiable, it must be decidable).
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by kybernetikos on Friday June 29, 2018 @04:47PM (#17427742)
> A scientific hypothesis must be falsifiable

This is certainly one understanding about what science should be (although not a scientific one interestingly enough). Personally I prefer Thomas Kuhn's demarcation, which by my understanding concentrates more on whether a scientific program is producing interesting predictions which turn out to be true.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by joshuamorton on Friday June 29, 2018 @04:55PM (#17427803)
I'm not speaking about science as a whole or a scientific program, but a scientific claim. CERN is certainly not falsifiable, but it produces predictions which (often) turn out to be true. It does so by devising falsifiable claims and then testing those claims.

In other words, the method to create interesting predictions which turn out to be true is to create interesting predictions, then test those predictions, and update your understanding of the world based on them. Once your world-model is good enough, your predictions will often be true. And, perhaps, eventually your predictions will be so often true that they become uninteresting, so you must move on to other questions.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by kybernetikos on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:02PM (#17427840)
Fair enough, I think Kuhn was referring to things like the world-models and you're referring to finding out if the predictions of the model matches reality.

The heliocentric model of the solar system made less accurate predictions than the geocentric model for years, because the geocentric model was mature and had had lots of tweaks applied to it. In that time, you could have asked the heliocentric model to make a prediction, and shown that it was wrong compared to the geocentric model. You would have been wrong to conclude that heliocentrism was wrong though, it just hadn't matured as a theory enough yet.

All models are wrong, but some are useful.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by kybernetikos on Friday June 29, 2018 @04:42PM (#17427705)
> Are there things that we can't test that do exist?

Lots of people think so (e.g. unmeasurable things predicted by theory like parallel universes, but also things like evil or God or the color purple), but by definition it's hard to be very sure, or to transfer your own confidence in such things to others.

Lots of these kinds of questions reduce to quibbling about definitons; and also by definition, if we can't test the thing then the universe isn't going to punish us either way for believing or not.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by mygo on Saturday June 30, 2018 @10:05AM (#17430904)
> if we can't test the thing then the universe isn't going to punish us either way for believing or not.

If we can’t test the thing then what we are discussing is faith, not science.

Nothing wrong with faith and beliefs but I think it’s important to differentiate between these things and science because often times science is used as a basis for untestable beliefs and then people really start to think that those untestable beliefs are actually backed by scientific research.

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by sethrin on Sunday July 01, 2018 @02:28AM (#17434391)
Do you have any empirical evidence for any particular QM interpretation? If not, does that make them unscientific?
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by mygo on Monday July 02, 2018 @08:45PM (#17446598)
I think the various interpretations of QM, until one is proven (or we otherwise come to one definition)... they all lie within philosophy.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by mygo on Friday June 29, 2018 @03:29PM (#17427087)
Despite the scientific method giving rise to the fact-based ever-improving test-able body of work we call Science.. that doesn’t stop people from creating their own religions and beliefs based on it.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by ianai on Friday June 29, 2018 @03:14PM (#17426938)
I think there’s a grave misunderstanding about the multi-universe interpretation. The scales at which the uncertainty principle come into play are vastly small. I think they’re small enough that they don’t summate to larger scale variances. The larger level probably asymptotes to the one reality.
Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by tjhance7 on Friday June 29, 2018 @02:53PM (#17426749)
> This is partly because, even assuming you accept the Many-Worlds Interpretation, "your" moral concern and responsibility presumably extend only to those branches that are in "your" future -- you have no contact with the other branches!

Would you say that the only moral way to implement quantum suicide is with a Doomsday Device that would destroy the entire world, thus ensuring your actions won't affect anybody else even in the worlds where you die?

Re:I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing/computational compl... by ScottAaronson on Saturday June 30, 2018 @01:53PM (#17431836)
No, I wouldn't recommend that either. :-)