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Re:Model predicts we're the only advanced civilization in th... by mcguire on Monday June 25, 2018 @09:50AM (#17392372)
The Earth is 4.5B years old. Evidence of life appears 260M-1B years later, with the earliest date given by the current earliest equivocal findings and the latest by direct fossil evidence.

A naive 1-in-23e100 calculation is probably the wrong way to go about it. After all, the probability of any poker hand is 1-in-2.6M.

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