I'd point to another article, his "cost conundrum" article actually was a pretty insightful piece that I think gets at the core of one of the main drivers of high HC spend: local monopolies [1]
Another article of his, the "hot spotters" [2], was very influential among providers, administrators and even VCs as well. However, I dont think he's right that addressing frequent fliers is the solution -- you see the same cost concentration among a few patients in all countries, and even across time, so it doesnt appear that that phenomenon is the cause of the US' unique expensiveness
i dont know of many other people who have ideas that demonstrate the same combination of independent thinking, reach / visibility and understanding of the system as atul gawande (i actually dont think there are many great ideas to improve healthcare, most dont even diagnose the problems accurately). some of his ideas will be wrong, but he has new and solid hypotheses, and being able to test those and learn is a great way to make progress
[1] https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2009/06/01/the-cost-conun...
[2] https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2011/01/24/the-hot-spotte...
I fully agree with you on monopolies and hot spotters. The monopolies are a pernicious issue that's incredibly hard to solve, and targeting hot spotters is not likely to be the silver bullet people hope it will be.
I hope he succeeds given his perspective, I'm just skeptical that he can given the scale and structure of the problem. In particular the monopolies issue seems utterly intractable. Maybe some combination of remote care and creating vertically integrated treatment centers can help? I don't know, healthcare is really hard. I just hope this isn't a flash/vision over nitty gritty execution appointment.
I think these are important because my hypothesis is that the way to tackle the monopoly issue is by reversing the trend of hospital consolidation and purchasing of independent providers, and putting more power in the hands of physicians rather than health systems or payers. But to do that you need to make being an independent physician feasible again, and to learn how to do that you need to connect with a lot of physicians and then be in a position to create services and products to help them become independent (probably by getting payers to pay independent docs more / reducing auth and other burdens; maybe this company has the heft to do so). I don't know that Atul Gawande's the perfect person for that, but I know that anyone who has run a hospital or payer is probably not right
And he’s neither a fraud (e.g. Scott Thompson) nor a finger-on-the-trigger egoist (e.g. Elon Musk)
"According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, it is anywhere between 1 in 100 to 1 in 5000.[1] However a study done in 2008 reported to the Annals of Surgery that mistakes in tool and sponge counts happened in 12.5% of surgeries.[8]"
Why are aircraft mechanics taking better precautions against this type of low hanging fruit than surgeons, aside from ego?
Ref:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retained_surgical_instruments
Nothing new under the sun. A guy who found that doctors should wash hands between autopsies and deliveries was ostracized by colleagues and died in asylum. [1]
[1] https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2015/01/12/3756639...
He's kind of celebrated for an article he wrote in the New Yorker on healthcare delivery and management. (see 'This magazine article saved $500M in unnecessary Rx spending' https://www.cnbc.com/2015/05/08/this-magazine-article-saved-...)
It impressed Munger, Buffett's partner sufficiently that he sent a cheque for $20,000 to Gawande at the time as a gift without knowing the guy. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/20/charlie-munger-once-wrote-at...
Let’s take the checklist manifesto, a fantastic idea that unfortunately isn’t as widely applied as it should be. Why? Because if you ask most surgeons they’ll say, “yeah it’s a great idea, I do it already/I don’t need to do it though because I’m that good”. In practice it doesn’t get applied because humans have ego and incentives get misaligned. It’s not actually that beneficial to reduce complications in surgery for the hospital as long as the patient is insured. And it’s not that beneficial for the insurance company to reduce costs because fundamentally as long as the insurance company can accurately predict how much costs will rise next year, they still make money. They just need to know how much premiums will go up.
Healthcare is full of great ideas and ways to make things better, but they often just don’t get implemented because the whole system is so poorly set up. I don’t see any evidence that Gawande for all his talents has a good approach or the expertise to break through all that.