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A comment on Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest approach.

Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by merb on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @04:59PM (#17297930)
I do not think that the germans are the top favorite.

First of all, not a lot of teams won the cup twice in a row

Second it's way harder if everybody is focused on you (because you won the last time)

I'm pretty sure barley any data can reflect these two statements. (ok the first one can, but the second one is a more emotionell effect)

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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by alecco on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @05:26PM (#17298182)
> First of all, not a lot of teams won the cup twice in a row

That is just because winning itself is low probability. But repetition is not a factor.

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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by usaphp on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @06:34PM (#17298689)
They were saying the same about Real Madrid and champions league, and we all know how it turned out.
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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by anonymousDan on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @07:12PM (#17298918)
There's a big difference between a 1 year cycle for the champions league and the 4 year cycle of a world cup in terms of player aging/form though.
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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by usaphp on Wednesday June 13, 2018 @09:39AM (#17302905)
They won it 3 times in 4 years which I would say is pretty comparable to a World Cup timing
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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by mart187 on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @05:31PM (#17298217)
No Team actually has done it before...
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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by thiagotomei on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @05:50PM (#17298391)
That is not correct.

* Italy won in 1934 and 1938

* Brazil won in 1958 and 1962

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Re:Prediction of the FIFA World Cup 2018 – A random forest a... by ajonnav on Tuesday June 12, 2018 @05:38PM (#17298288)
Looks like Brazil did in 1958 and 1962.
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