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Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by mhb on Friday June 08, 2018 @12:18PM (#17266901)
Become a good strategy? Pensions for government workers have been a thing for a very long time.
Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by jjaredsimpson on Friday June 08, 2018 @01:52PM (#17267954)
Pensions are fine if employers accurately discount present wages for the expected payment of future wages, and accurately forecast future population growth to maintain a good ratio of workers to retirees.

Some governments seem to be quite bad at this though. States differ in pension liabilities and I haven't looked at the federal level.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by 3pt14159 on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:09PM (#17268179)
It isn't that governments are bad at it, its that they have incentives to fuck it up. It's much easier politically to give the union what it wants and let it be some mess someone cleans up in 20 or 40 years.

Only if the electorate is intelligent / educated enough to call bullshit do they temper their bullshitery.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by leereeves on Friday June 08, 2018 @04:59PM (#17269637)
The electorate prefers to be distracted by Buzz Aldrin's facial ticks, Pence's water bottle, and a fake Meliana blow up doll instead of having a serious discussion about the consequences of policy today, let alone 20 years from now.

(Just three recent examples of the nonsense of the day. Yesterday or tomorrow, different nonsense, but always nonsense over serious discussion.)

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by mhb on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:36PM (#17268441)
Probably some governments are bad at it because knowing what will happen in the future, which you need to in order to keep a defined benefit plan solvent, is impossible. Other governments/employers were luckier.

But it's not so hard to say that you can do it.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by ebbv on Friday June 08, 2018 @01:56PM (#17268004)
Pensions are not inherently a problem any more than any other form of retirement account is. HN should be above this kind of ignorant rhetoric.
Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by xyzzyz on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:20PM (#17268287)
Of course they are more of a problem, just like a mortgage is more risky than saving up to buy a house with cash upfront — pensions create a long term liability in a way that putting cash in employee 401k doesn’t. Even more importantly, with pensions you’re taking a mortgage that is deferred for a few decades, and someone else than you will be responsible for paying it off — by the time the pension benefits come to mature, people who made the deal are long gone, and won’t take any responsibility. It gives them an incentive to make a bad deal to make pensioners happy now, and let someone else deal with the problem of funding them later on.
Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by sykh on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:54PM (#17268602)
...pensions create a long term liability in a way that putting cash in employee 401k doesn’t.

Assuming we don’t want to live in a society in which vast numbers of elderly live in penury this isn’t true. It’s well known that when retirement savings are the responsibility of the emoloyee then they don’t save enough.

What you say about bad governance is certainly true and incompetent or badly incentivized leadership will exacerbate problems. I don’t know what the solution is for the U.S. but the current system is going to make us end up with a society with large numbers of destitute elderly. Shifting the onus to the employee via 401Ks is just kicking the can down the road so to speak. It also allows politicians and voters off the hook because the liabilities aren’t on the books. On paper it looks good but the reckoning will occur.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by ethbro on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:33PM (#17268960)
Not to mention shifting responsibility on the management side from professionals to citizens.

(There are a lot of arguments to be quibbled over here, but when the average American can't calculate interest I'm not going to point to them as the best steward of their retirement)

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by Retric on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:44PM (#17268517)
Unfunded pensions do that, but the government could easily mandate all pensions are 110% fully funded.

Really, it's an issue of policy not pensions.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by snarf21 on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:10PM (#17268731)
I'd disagree. Fully funded would probably look more like 300% of what is expected. People are living longer. If healthcare is included in the pension, it is a variable cost we can't even measure in terms of future cost.

Additionally, pension have to be managed and administrated. This is pure wasted money. Every pensioner would be better off taking the money that is set aside for their part of the pool and putting it in a Vanguard index fund. When you start to withdraw, you know how much you have left and you haven't paid tons of kickbacks along the way. When there is a recession, you can scale back your withdraws until there is a recovery, etc.

Fixed benefit pensions can never be anything but a pyramid scheme. Otherwise, your pension would be more by doing what I state above because the administration is near zero. The pension funds have never done better than the S&P over any reasonable time window. Pensions will always have unnecessary overhead.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by Retric on Friday June 08, 2018 @04:37PM (#17269465)
Pensions actually provide a massive benifit in that they don't provide dead people money. You can say I will be fine if I run out of money at age X, but when you start talking about 100 million people you get a large number that make it past that.

Also, fully funded is only fully funded when it can survive the company going bankrupt tomorrow. People like to redefine it as liability less than X, but that just means underfunded.

Granted, if you have kids you might want the leftovers from your retirement to go to them, but that's not a social problem. Further becase pensions take less money so a subset can always just buy life insurance.

PS: The biggest issue is benifits not including inflation, but again that's a policy issue.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by ebbv on Saturday June 09, 2018 @08:27AM (#17272687)
This is nonsense. Pensions should be and used to be funded when they were set up. The issue is that greedy, irresponsible politicians (many of whom claim to be conservatives) plundered them like piggy banks.
Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by ravenscrow on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:09PM (#17268726)
> Pensions are not inherently a problem any more than any other form of retirement account is.

Sure it is. It's inherently problematic because it assumes perpetual growth of population and economy. Also, there is a difference between pensions and 401ks and IRAs. 401ks/IRAs will run out. Pensions can never run out. In other words, you can outlive your 401ks/IRAs, but you can't outlive your pension.

Or put it simply, with 401k/IRAs, you can't take out more than you put in. With pensions, you can if you live long enough. So who makes up the difference? The workers or taxpayers.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by mywittyname on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:37PM (#17268457)
Not if they are fully funded. But the issue is that most pensions systems are woefully underfunded, thus, are a huge risk.

If pension payouts floated as a percentage of overall asset value, then they would a great retirement strategy. But promising people a guaranteed (generous) fixed-income is not sustainable in the long-term.

Re:Bernanke Says U.S. Economy Faces a ‘Wile E. Coyote’ Momen... by ebbv on Sunday June 10, 2018 @07:35AM (#17277639)
The only reason pensions are underfunded is that they were plundered. Hold the politicians that broke them responsible, not the workers who earned their benefits.