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Re:Reality Driven Development: Fixing Project Management in ... by andrewflnr on Friday May 25, 2018 @08:45PM (#17159398)
> It just feel like a sequence of dice rolls hoping you don’t end up at the far tail of the gaussian.

That's exactly, precisely what it is, by design AFAICT. The thing about gaussians is, what with the central limit theorem and all, you provably don't end up on their tail very often.

That said, gathering a bunch more data can make your gaussian even narrower. I think you and (platonically ideal) Agile are just at different spots on the same spectrum of risk tolerance.

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