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A comment on US Births Dip to 30-yr Low; Fertility Rate Sinks Further Below Replacement Level. Parent comment

Re:US Births Dip to 30-yr Low; Fertility Rate Sinks Further ... by ghostcluster on Thursday May 17, 2018 @03:55PM (#17094946)
It's not just a US issue. Fertility drops below replacement rate all across the world in urban settings with modern economies, from Germany to Japan to China, even trending in sub saharan Africa https://www.ageing.ox.ac.uk/blog/Is-fertility-stalling-in-su...
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Re:US Births Dip to 30-yr Low; Fertility Rate Sinks Further ... by martinpw on Thursday May 17, 2018 @04:35PM (#17095412)
That article is not particularly reassuring. Although the rate is declining in sub-saharan africa, it is very slow and seems to be stalling out. The example of Niger is particularly concerning:

[...] the shrinking arable land beset by frequent drought, is supporting a rapidly expanding population. [...] expected to grow from some 16 million today to 55 million in 2050, reaching 140 million by the end of the century

A 10x increase in population, decreasing farmland, and then add the effects of climate change on top...

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Re:US Births Dip to 30-yr Low; Fertility Rate Sinks Further ... by ghostcluster on Thursday May 17, 2018 @05:05PM (#17095800)
It will mean a big problem for Europe as the level of outflow is likely set to accelerate over the coming decades. Who knows what the political consequences will be..
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