Re:Airlines Are Backing Volantio (YC W09), a Startup That Co...
by ryanwaggoner on Saturday April 14, 2018 @05:59PM
(#16839778)
If a significant fraction of people won’t show up AND a significant fraction of those who do show up will have flexible plans and be happy to take a later flight, “overbooking” seems a lot more reasonable.
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Re:Airlines Are Backing Volantio (YC W09), a Startup That Co...
by bogomipz on Sunday April 15, 2018 @02:22AM
(#16841510)
>"If a significant fraction of people won’t show up ."
I think its safe to say that there isn't a "significant fraction" of people who don't show up for their flights.
Re:Airlines Are Backing Volantio (YC W09), a Startup That Co...
by wpietri on Sunday April 15, 2018 @10:45AM
(#16842855)
The fraction is obviously significant to the people trying to make sure airplanes are fully utilized, so this seems like a word game to me. People miss flights all the time.
A brief look for stats doesn't turn up hard data, but TechCrunch has it at ~5%:
https://techcrunch.com/2017/04/11/overbooking/
Someone who worked in ticketing for two airlines says it's 2% for flights to hubs, and 5-8% for flights from hubs, because of missed connections:
https://www.quora.com/What-percentage-of-people-who-check-in...
According to IATA, a good year for airline industry profits is circa 5%:
http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Pages/2016-12-08-01.aspx
So even if we take the lowest fraction, 2%, filling those seats represents 40% of the profit margin. That sounds pretty significant to me.