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Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by ocdtrekkie on Friday April 13, 2018 @12:42AM (#16827169)
If we are dependent on a single company to get beyond the confines of a single planet, we are probably stuck here.

Kinda why I'm happy NASA still has their own plans, and other competitors are out there too. Hinging everything on one rocket isn't a good idea, and when the shuttle was retired, we ended up without a way to space for years.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by TeMPOraL on Friday April 13, 2018 @01:35AM (#16827345)
We're not dependent on a single company in principle, but it so happened in the last 10 years, that they were the only one who cared and had the means to do something about it. Now that they've rekindled the interest and shown the way to lower launch costs, competitors are showing up. Which is good, but I still fear it's early enough that if SpaceX folded now, other space companies would follow, and we'd be stuck again in the early post-Shuttle era.

NASA, with its limited budget and constant micromanagement by politicians, doesn't want to be - and can't be - in the business of trucking things to orbit. That's why they're trying to outsource it as much as possible.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by gliboc on Friday April 13, 2018 @12:54AM (#16827209)
You realize this is not how it works? SpaceX is a pioneer: they show the path, others follow. There is no dependency on innovation.

Also, NASA can't do any of this, which is why the US government is giving funds to SpaceX. Plus what about the real dependency of the NASA on political agenda and budget votes?

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by ocdtrekkie on Friday April 13, 2018 @01:37AM (#16827351)
SpaceX also has a real dependency on political agenda and budget votes (as do all of Musk's companies as the case is: Tesla and SolarCity were built heavily on tax incentives from green initiatives, SpaceX depends on funding from NASA, and the Boring Company looks like it's gearing up to cash in on all those "infrastructure" promises everyone in our government's been demanding). Congress can absolutely decide to fund SpaceX less, or charge SpaceX more for use of government facilities, just as easily as they can pull the funding out from under SLS if they choose to.

Elon Musk is very good at designing companies built on government handouts. ;) Not that there's anything inherently wrong with that.

We are past the "pioneer" stage of space launches: We've done it lots of times. The exciting part is now making space launches cheaper, regular, and more capable. SpaceX is not the only company working on doing those things.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by nickik on Friday April 13, 2018 @09:09AM (#16829605)
That is mostly false. Neither Tesla nor SpaceX depend on government funding.

SpaceX absolutely does not depend on NASA for funding. The majority of SpaceX missions are not for the government. The majority of their developments and research are not directly funded by NASA.

> Congress can absolutely decide to fund SpaceX less

They can hurt them by telling NASA and DoD to not use SpaceX even if they are the cheapest. But that would absolutely not kill SpaceX in any way.

It would also massively hurt the government since it would cost them billions.

> or charge SpaceX more for use of government facilities

Unless they break their contract that were already negotiated for the long term, no they can't. But that's a stupid argument, of course the US government can destroy any company in the world if they really want to.

> Elon Musk is very good at designing companies built on government handouts. ;) Not that there's anything inherently wrong with that.

Not really. First of all, in the case of SpaceX they were not handouts, but rather competitively bid contracts that SpaceX can execute cheaper then anybody else. In fact SpaceX had to sue the government multiple times to even be allowed to bid for some of the contracts.

Kistler for example was not able to execute and NASA cut their funding and they went down.

These actions actually saved the government a shit-ton of money, rather then the government giving handouts to SpaceX.

The same goes for Tesla, its mostly successful because it a good product. The tax cuts they get are nice, but again, any other company has access to the same tax-cuts as well.

> We are past the "pioneer" stage of space launches

The BFR is absolutely a pineer project.Pretty much nothing like it has ever been done. Not the engines. Not the structure. Not the fuel. Not the orbital refueling. Not the full reusability.

And of course then landing it on Mars and hopefully flying it back, that's absolutely a pioneer project.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by ocdtrekkie on Friday April 13, 2018 @11:59AM (#16831230)
Uh, most of SpaceX wouldn't exist without the $3.144 billion SpaceX was given under the Commercial Crew Program: https://www.nasa.gov/content/commercial-crew-program-the-ess...

Which, for what it's worth, SpaceX still hasn't actually delivered a result on, since they decided not to make the Dragon a crewed spacecraft after all.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by rst on Friday April 13, 2018 @02:21PM (#16832561)
The overwhelming majority of the crew Dragon money was awarded in the CCtCap contract, in 2017 -- by which time Cargo Dragon and Falcon 9 had both been flying for years. And crewed Dragon development is still in progress; oddly enough, one reason they're not flying yet is NASA is still trying to finalize the certification criteria for actually flying crew.

As others have noted, you really don't know what you're talking about.

https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2018/04/spacex-progress-comm...

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by nickik on Friday April 13, 2018 @01:17PM (#16831959)
You are just continung to show that you total ignorance of the space industry, NASA and SpaceX.

First of all, the argument that SpaceX would not exist without that contract is 100% wrong. When it was awarded they already had a successful comercial buissness with many people having order launches.

Second, you seem to be under the delusion that SpaceX was given this money. That is false, the money is conditional on reaching milestones and is only paid out if NASA is sadified. If NASA is not sadified the company has to pay for the delays out of their profit margin, unlike JWST for example. SpaceX has not jet recived the waste majority of that money.

Third, the 3 billion is by FAR the cheapest offer NASA had. You can see in your own link that SpaceX gets 2.6 billion while Boeing gets 4.2 billon for the operational phase. The DreamCheaser was around 3.6.

So what do you want? Do you want NASA to build everything themselfs? NASA itself admits that they could not develop something nearly as cheap. Their own evaluations have ahown this over and over again.

Are you just against spaceflight in general? Do you think the government should not be invovlved?

The document you yourself provided showes that SpaceX got the contract because they convinced NASA in a highly technical highy comptetive.

So whats your issue? Why this irrational hate?

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by ocdtrekkie on Friday April 13, 2018 @02:02PM (#16832378)
I don't have irrational hate. And I wish SpaceX the best on their endeavors and look forward to seeing what they accomplish. Why the irrational fanboyism? Why are you taking a realistic discussion of the company like a shot across the bow?
Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by nickik on Saturday April 14, 2018 @08:18AM (#16837009)
Maybe its not hate, but it is irrational. You are either lying and misrepresent the facts, or you just simply don't know what you are talking about.

In either case you should stop going into technical forums and write strongly worded comments like:

> Uh, most of SpaceX wouldn't exist without the $3.144 billion SpaceX was given under the Commercial Crew Program

Secondly

> Why the irrational fanboyism?

How is it irrational? I'm a 'fanboy' because of what SpcaeX has achived. I'm a fanboy for any company that pushes technology and SpaceX just happens to be one of the most visionary and aggressive companies around.

> Why are you taking a realistic discussion of the company like a shot across the bow?

I'm all for realistic discussion. If you had argued that SpaceX would not exists without NASA or the governmnet (2008 COTS contract), then I would have responded differently. But you did not make realistic discussions, you asserted things that were false.

There is a realistic discussion about SpaceX and the profitiabiltiy of its vision. And I'm happy to talk about that, because it is a difficult thing. Being a 'fanboy' does not preclude realism.

All I did was give you the facts to correct your mistake. Don't be salty.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by outworlder on Friday April 13, 2018 @03:07PM (#16833010)
Because the discussion is not realistic. You are misrepresenting facts for some reason.
Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by TeMPOraL on Friday April 13, 2018 @02:00AM (#16827444)
> We are past the "pioneer" stage of space launches: We've done it lots of times. The exciting part is now making space launches cheaper, regular, and more capable. SpaceX is not the only company working on doing those things.

Sure. But SpaceX is still leading a way, and is way ahead of everyone else. And before they started, literally nobody else cared. Existing launch companies were happy with their status quo. I'm not confident that the other companies currently working on cheap launches would survive if SpaceX folded, so I still believe we need SpaceX in the coming years to keep up the momentum.

[dead]
Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by nickik on Friday April 13, 2018 @09:25AM (#16829730)
I will give you some examples of how everything you say is utter garbage.

Lets luck at the COTS program form NASA.

They selected two companies, SpaceX and Kistler. SpaceX succeeded on everything and they flew the missions at the price agree on in the contract (witch was globally competitive). Kistler was not able and so they went down. The program succeeded and the US now has the by far the cheapest ISS supply vehicle and the only one that can return cargo (SpaceX btw added this feature on top themselves, it was demand by NASA).

Once the contract COTS 2 was negotiated, SpaceX again made the single best and cheapest bid and was again selected in a competitive process against companies that are far larger and have more pull in Washington.

The same goes for Commercial Crew. It was a competitive process that included many companies who have far more access to politicians and career bureaucrats then SpaceX had. And yet again, SpaceX was on of the selected, BECAUSE THEIR OFFER WAS JUST SO MUCH CHEAPER THEN ANYBODY ELSE.

Have you ever consider that maybe SpaceX gets these contracts because they are just far cheaper then anybody else?

Many of the numbers I am talking about here are public. You can go look it up. The reality is your argument is absolute bullshit that has absolutely no bases in reality.

Now that was NASA, lets look at DoD. Clearly SpaceX only gets all these contracts because they play golf with so many generals, right?

Again, totally false. Its the exact opposite, ULA had long been the prime contract to the point where the launches were no longer competitively bid. It took multiple law suits against the DoD before SpaceX was even allowed to compete. Then they had to go threw a very hard certification process.

Once SpaceX was allowed to compete they massively underbid the competition to the point where ULA has actually stopped even bidding because they know they have no chance at winning in a fair competition.

Also, the notion that SpaceX after 2008 depended on government contracts is totally false. Only about 1/3 of SpaceX launches are for the US government and they have tons of private launches on their waiting list.

All in all, your entire argument is totally false.

Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by squeegee5 on Friday April 13, 2018 @04:48PM (#16833781)
You'll note that I praised SpaceX. My denigration was reserved for Musk in particular.
Re:SpaceX's Valuation Climbs to $25B with New Funding Round by handsomechad on Friday April 13, 2018 @04:46AM (#16828115)
Why did you include Gates?