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A comment on Another Tesla on autopilot steers towards a barrier. Parent comment
Older ideas are http://mlg.eng.cam.ac.uk/yarin/blog_2248.html or http://papers.nips.cc/paper/7219-simple-and-scalable-predict...
Basically Bayesian neural networks were able to model confidence but are not applicable in current real-world scenarios. Thus, lots of methods rely on approximating bayesian methods.
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Older ideas are http://mlg.eng.cam.ac.uk/yarin/blog_2248.html or http://papers.nips.cc/paper/7219-simple-and-scalable-predict...
Basically Bayesian neural networks were able to model confidence but are not applicable in current real-world scenarios. Thus, lots of methods rely on approximating bayesian methods.