Palantir worked with Cambridge Analytica on the Facebook data it acquired

Re:Palantir worked with Cambridge Analytica on the Facebook ... by sjwright on Wednesday March 28, 2018 @04:08AM (#16696211)

There's no logical conflict between saying Clinton had a 10 to 1 chance of winning and Trump actually winning. 10 to 1 still means Trump wins 10% of the time.

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Re:Palantir worked with Cambridge Analytica on the Facebook ... by corpMaverick on Wednesday March 28, 2018 @10:41AM (#16698010)

I don't know why you were down voted. It should be obvious, but people still interpret odds like that as it was a sure thing.

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Re:Palantir worked with Cambridge Analytica on the Facebook ... by sjwright on Wednesday March 28, 2018 @08:56PM (#16703628)

Part of the problem is a confusion between raw poll results—where 59-41 means almost certain victory to one side—and statistical likelihood.

On election night, Fivethirtyeight gave Trump a 29 percent chance of winning the electoral college. Not a 71-29 poll result, a nearly three-in-ten chance of winning. Let that sink in for a second, and reevaluate the media narrative that the pollsters got it wrong.

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