In general (you'll probably find specific counterexamples for this, but as I said _in general_) the relative performance of deep learning models to classical machine learning may drop below that of classical models when you start looking at medium-sized data sets. And I can assure you, there are many data sets, with many applications for machine learning. And while the world talks about deep learning, I know of many companies, where random forests, suport vector machines or bayesian models have been running for years (which means, cross-validated by data unavailable during model development) with a prediction performance that a business can depend on.
I agree with you that Reinforcement learning will as a technology become much more important in the next years. However, only if exploration is cheap enough. I expect Deep Reinforcement learning not to be the answer, at least not in its current state, but I can very well imagine that we will see more machine-learning-algorithm in the reinforcement-learning-loop experiments. I personally would hope to see more research in the bayesian reinforcement learning area.
What I observed is that many ML companies now run two pipelines in parallel, one based on Deep Learning and the other on classical ML, then cherry pick solutions that work best for the problem/scale they have.
Sounds a bit like Baron Münchhausen pulling himself and the horse on which he was sitting out of a mire by his own hair.
I'd assume that instead of pulling such stunts, a reasonable generative model might have done the trick.
> What I observed is that many ML companies now run two pipelines in parallel, one based on Deep Learning and the other on classical ML, then cherry pick solutions that work best for the problem/scale they have.
Putting it this way, I agree. And my personal addendum here is: classical ML outperforms DL more often than the hype might make people think.
It sounds crazy, but you've likely seen what NVidia did with high-resolution synthetic faces using their progressive GANs; I'd totally use them as training examples without any hesitation.
The counterpoint is that a _lot_ could have been written 5 to 10 years ago, and only 10% of it would still be relevant. This is the relevant 10%.
[Bishop 2006] http://www.springer.com/de/book/9780387310732
Have you looked at the monograph at all? This could have been written 5 to 10 years ago, 15 years ago, maybe a few sections would have looked a little different. In fact, I like to recommend Mitchell's Machine Learning book (I think it was written in the 90s) as an introduction to people with a serious interest.
There currently is a lot of hype going on for machine learning algorithms, because we see good progress in things like computer vision / pattern recognition. This kicks of a marketing machinery that really blurs the reality.
In reality, we have an established body of methods and modelling techniques that are sufficient, because the available data is the bottleneck for prediction quality. The actual challenge is to come up with a valuable business proposition, not necessarily to build the predictive model.