How Many Tesla Model 3 Cars Have Been Made?

Re:How Many Tesla Model 3 Cars Have Been Made? by franciscop on Saturday February 24, 2018 @06:37AM (#16452844)

The graphs show a clearly exponential grow rate. No idea how long it will keep growing and when it'll start to plateau, but it does not seem to be going to suddenly, exactly this month stop growing. If they keep it like this apparent 10-20% increased production/week in 12 months they will be producing 3000-9000 cars/week.

So yeah, IF (big if) they can keep it growing at the same exponential rate it'd take around 65-34 weeks [0][1] to deliver 500k cars from now with 10% and 20% growth rates respectively:

[0] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=(1+%2B+1.2+%5E+x)+*+10...

[1] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=(1+%2B+1.2+%5E+x)+*+10...

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Re:How Many Tesla Model 3 Cars Have Been Made? by intended on Saturday February 24, 2018 @09:06AM (#16453280)

exponential growth rates in industrial production are HIGHLY unlikely.

At best you will have a step function as additional assembly lines come on.

OR you will have a max production ability, with various factors inhibiting that production ability such as part issues, failures, faults and so on.

So either the plant is not at full capacity, and there are production issues.

OR the plants are at full capacity and more lines are being added.

(and you can have the worst of both)

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Re:How Many Tesla Model 3 Cars Have Been Made? by icc97 on Sunday February 25, 2018 @07:41AM (#16458638)

It'll be an S-shape. Musk had images of it in his Model 3 presentation when he first mentioned 'production hell'.

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