Re:Tesla’s China Dream Threatened by Standoff Over Shanghai ...
by awakeasleep on Thursday February 15, 2018 @05:59PM
(#16388542)
You could survive a house robbery. It'd "work out" for you.
Thats not a meaningful way to conceptualize the event though.
Re:Tesla’s China Dream Threatened by Standoff Over Shanghai ...
by majormajor on Thursday February 15, 2018 @06:03PM
(#16388565)
So what is your position? That it would "work out" to ignore China entirely, and just hope that we'll never have to compete with or deal with it?
The knowledge won't stay in a bottle. I doubt any treaty in the world could keep an automotive industry from developing in China. Maybe the only potential progressions are (a) let local clones develop while ignoring the market, watch hopelessly if those local clones then go on to innovate further than you or (b) do ventures like this to at least be directly exposed to any potential upside if the local folks surpass you?
There's also a side question here about the difference between physical goods and software. Something like WeChat faces a really steep uphill climb to conquer the west because the starting conditions are so different - I'd have to be convinced to change from our existing ways of doing the same thing, vs being one of the first to enable things in a new market. On the other hand, smartphone clones can sell everywhere with the same hardware (especially once Google gave Android away freely). Japanese/Korean auto manufacturing is more the example for that (and obviously for Tesla), and that happened on its own.