Re:A Tiny Hedge Fund Made 8,600% on a Vix Bet
by alva on Saturday February 10, 2018 @01:27PM
(#16348687)
Sounds like they were not leveraged. Any idiot can make super high leveraged bets that will wipe them out if they don't pay off. Your comment suggests a lack of understanding of risk. Max risk of 200k for 17m payoff is VERY impressive.
Re:A Tiny Hedge Fund Made 8,600% on a Vix Bet
by OscarCunningham on Sunday February 11, 2018 @06:26AM
(#16352247)
It depends on the odds of it working, of course. 200k/17m is 1.2%, so any idiot can arrange a bet which pays of 17m with 1.2% probability with at most 200k at risk.
Re:A Tiny Hedge Fund Made 8,600% on a Vix Bet
by alva on Sunday February 11, 2018 @04:31PM
(#16354941)
Of course they can. My comment was in context of the parent. Suggesting 8600% return isn't that impressive is ludicrous and ignores the downside. Comparing this bet to ultra-leveraged bets is silly.
And 8600% isn't that impressive ( depending on the size of the bet ). Leveraged bets can turn $1K into $1M or $10M overnight.
If you want impressive, go look into the returns in currency trading when the swiss unpegged their franc a few years ago. If you had insider information, you could have turned a few thousands into tens of millions easily.
This is really only news if this tiny hedge fund had insider knowledge. There's nothing really newsworthy about this.