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Re:Smear campaign against Wikileaks begins by tome on Saturday August 21, 2010 @07:56AM (#1622656)
The probabilities of a man committing each of two individual rapes are not independent. This is the worst statistical fallacy you can commit. Please see the following for further tragic details:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Meadow#Cot_death_trial_cont...

Re:Smear campaign against Wikileaks begins by cabalamat on Sunday August 22, 2010 @11:15AM (#1624718)
> The probabilities of a man committing each of two individual rapes are not independent.

Indeed not, and I never said they were. Indeed if a rapist rapes one woman, then he's more likely to do it again than a man who has never raped.

My point was that it's less likely that a man will be accused of two unrelated rapes at the same time, than just be accused of one rape.