I think they have an incompetent management department that decided that no open sourcing ME is a good idea. Marketing is may also be incompetent at picking up the pieces after the bugs were discovered.

> 95% speculation. The last 5% comes from exercising basic pattern recognition.

No, it's all speculation because pattern recognition is not evidence, as applied here. Like, is it possible that I am an NSA agent trying to persuade you that you are safe and shouldn't worry about ME? Of course it's possible. But do you have any evidence of that? No.

"Well, in the past the NSA has asked big companies for backdoors into their products" is a true statement with evidence. "That implies that in this case there is a 5% chance that is exactly what's happening" is 100% speculation because again there is no evidence. If you can find any, I am all ears because honestly I am not a fan of Intel, Intel ME, the NSA, government spying, big corporations taking advantage of consumers, or a number of other things I imagine you and I agree on. But I think I am being rational when I say that chances are this is a stupid bug or number of bugs, plus bad old school thinking on the part of the management team, and not a deliberate NSA feature.

Here is my bit of speculation: if the NSA asked Intel to include a backdoor, wouldn't they both have done a better job of creating it? Why introduce a bug when you can include whatever code you want in a closed source firmware? You can literally add any kind of C&C mechanism you want because nobody can see what you are doing and nobody would ever know. Is the NSA that stupid to to ask for a bug that can be found and exploited? Is Intel not able to offer a better technical solution? Wouldn't it be to both of their benefits to do this right from the start? Also, why only approach Intel and not AMD? AMD is not as popular but surely has enough market share to warrant spying on.

You say "do you have proof?". But nobody can have proof beforehand. That's how these things always go -- something is done under cover and later (usually much later) somebody uncovers it and shows it to the world. Why do you ask of a proof that can't possibly be in the spotlight right now? Many historical facts have been denied and met with skepticism and mockery until they have been proven to be indeed facts. Why is this case different in your eyes?

Why aren't you viewing the possibility of intelligence agencies ordering the Intel ME as one of these future historical facts? If the proof for that became known today, both the agency and Intel would scramble to introduce a better backdoor in the next generation CPUs / MBs and devise a marketing campaign to make it sound good -- and to bash their former selves for "making a mistake" while simply thinking "OK, we're gonna cover it up much better this time and we're gonna twist it in such a way that people would flock to buy it". It's what marketing and spies do; they twist facts. Why is that so non-legit for you?

Furthermore, you're asking why didn't they do a better job if it was a conspiracy. People in closed circles aren't exposed to public criticism and their thinking is affected in the process. They usually think "meh, good enough, nobody will ever find it anyway". They are humans like you and I and are susceptible to bad days or negligence due to being tired. Furthermore, it's very likely they were under pressure to make it work quickly so they took shortcuts. What makes you think the programmers of the intelligence agencies have godlike powers over their (very likely) military superiors? Answer is, they don't. Programmers have no executive powers and their counsel is usually met with skepticism if it doesn't fit the management's agenda.

When talking about intelligence, our best bet is to do educated guesses. If we had hard facts we would be targets. As mentioned in another reply of mine directed at you -- it's their job to hide the facts. So you requesting proof of these matters is basically refuting all possibility of intelligence agency commission of the Intel ME on the grounds of "hey, you are not the next Edward Snowden so your arguments are invalid".

Meh. You come across as a guy who basically says "my speculation is better than yours". Not constructive.

Ok you lost me at “future historical fact”. Again that is a fancy way of saying pure speculation. No I don’t know for a fact that the NSA didn’t order Intel to build a buggy ME into all its processors. I can’t prove that it didn’t happen. And maybe your speculation will turn out to be right. I am arguing that my speculation that this was incompetence is significantly more likely to be correct than your speculation of conspiracy.

Your theory in the above comment is that the NSA or equivalent ordered Intel to build a C&C mechanism into their processors. Intel then did a perfect job covering up this request, but did a piss poor job of implementing it due to incompetence and has not managed to correct it for 10 years. There is no indication that this might be the case but because of other unsavory activities by the NSA or equivalent it can be assumed that at some point evidence will be uncovered that you are right and therefore we should accept it as fact. Do I have that right?

Not exactly but almost. I am saying this is the most likely outcome.

Judging by other activities of the intelligence agencies and working with pure speculation -- not hiding from these words, you are correct by calling it that -- I still think it's much more likely they commissioned the Intel ME.

You mention critical thinking in another comment. Critical thinking, the way I apply it, also requires a historical context to be applied to the situation one is analyzing. Agencies have been doing pretty shady stuff and some of it has been uncovered for the entire world to see.

Critical thinking, the way I apply it, says that the odds are there is a foul play. I merely wish you to recognize that this is the more likely scenario than a bunch of coincidences and/or people supposedly making the ME to serve data center sysadmins -- btw many of those sysadmins, including on several threads here in HN, said they never used the ME and named a plethora of other tools.

Obviously I am not trying to change the way you think in general. I believe we can both agree that none of us knows for sure. The human brain's strength is to work with many variables and be able to impose some order in the chaos by pattern recognition and using historical info. I am not gonna deny this can lead to people drawing awfully misguided conclusions sometimes -- and I've been guilty of that as well! -- but it's the best we have, especially having in mind what tiny imperfect brains we have to work with.

Everything I can name are circumstantial evidence. I accept that. It's the nature of the area. Intelligence data isn't easy to come by.

OK. And with that you are saying that you are basing this on 95% speculation and 5% pattern recognition with no direct evidence, and yet it's the most likely outcome.

And I am saying that the confidence interval on that calculation is just orders of magnitude not tight enough. I am not denying that you could be right. It's just that I am giving that possibility something like a 1% chance of being true, while something like 85% chance of this being pure incompetence by Intel management and engineers (the rest being some other explanation that's neither malice nor direct incompetence). I don't think you and I can find a common ground on this estimation.

Again though, ME is a bad thing because it's not open source, it can't be turned of, and it's buggy. Regardless of who ordered its creation, it sucks.

>And I am saying that the confidence interval on that calculation is just orders of magnitude not tight enough.

You're also saying, implicitly, that therefore we must default to assuming it is incompetence.

That link isn't a given. Stating that it is incompetence is also speculation, not some kind of universal backup truth.

However, when it comes to that last 5%, I assert that the historical data does not back a claim that Intel's marketing department is incompetent.

you are the mvp of this post. thanks for keeping things rational.