Re:Why Throwing 92 Heads in a Row is not Surprising [pdf]
by szemet on Thursday December 14, 2017 @03:01PM
(#15926360)
It is true, if you do not have memory (memoryless chanel with a memoryless observer;)
But if you do have memory, then you are free to chose to see "92 consecutive throws with a fair coin" as one event.
In that case the Kolmogorov complexity describes perfectly well why you should be suprised at low entropy outcomes - simply because those are rare events (using our new definition of 'event').
But if you do have memory, then you are free to chose to see "92 consecutive throws with a fair coin" as one event.
In that case the Kolmogorov complexity describes perfectly well why you should be suprised at low entropy outcomes - simply because those are rare events (using our new definition of 'event').