Speculation without merit, only going by "first guess" should not be shared.
If you are an expert, your opinion (even offhand) carries weight.
I agree - and this is why Bruce Schneier (in my opinion) formulated his statements so cautiously and clearly pointed out the lack of evidence.
Of course people will take action - but this can mean anything:
- Doing undercover investigation to collect evidence whether China or Russia is really behind it or this was a red herring: I would consider this as a pretty good idea under the given circumstances.
- Accusing China or Russia on the world stage that they are behind these attacks: A really bad idea.
But both are plausible actions based on the "prediction" - and I would call the first one actually a good idea under the given circumstances.
> This looks especially foolish now. Schneier is a so-called expert who has testified in front of congress. He should be more careful when engaging in rampant speculation like this.
Perhaps by being not a native speaker of English and not living in the USA I miss some cultural subtleties, but I would call Bruce Schneier's statement really cautious:
- He clearly states he does not know who is the culprit (really cautious - as it should be!)
- He clearly states that his statement is based alone on feeling
- He rather clearly outlines that his guesses for China or Russia are based on the correctness of the assumption that a national state is behind it