Give me a number, and I can put that many nines after the decimal place of percent-certianty in my result. For each nine, I have to run my experiment longer. Infinity nines -> complete certainty.
So, in practice, when we're choosing between fact and fiction, what we're really doing is putting our theories into a bucket and letting them duke it out until there's only one voice left telling us how many struts our bridge needs to be built with. The beauty of science is that whatever poetry, rousing manifesto, or brilliant connections you want to pit it against, you can always look at them and order up exactly as many nines as it takes to beat them. The certainty of science is finite, but unbounded: so it's the best we've got.
>Theories might even be inconsistent with other theories [...]
There's a nice philosophy-of-science trick you can do if you want QM and GR at the same time. Just look at the error bars on the experiments that support the two theories, and propagate them down into error bars on the theories themselves. That leads to theories being statements of knowledge over appropriate ranges (and to appropriate precisions), making them "true" in an absolute sense. (If you do this with Newton's classical mechanics, you will realize that QM was not an overturning but an allowed-for refinement.)
This is debatable[0]. Presumably, people without language can still think, and even if you believe that they invent an internal language to think with you are placing language into a tool-role, where it can be created and destroyed in service of a higher goal (thought). However, that still leaves the problems with correspondence unexplained: but hopefully I can convince you that they are not too bad.
I'll sketch it for you:
Coordinate systems are all equally good by the measure of how well their predictions work. They're obviously constructions - but that doesn't itself imply that the models that use them are constructions, any more than the wrappers burgers come in makes their meat paper. (I mean, the models might be constructions too, but it's not the use of arbitrary coordinate systems that makes them so.)
Specific expressions of models are all equally good by the "correspondence" measure as well: anyone with even a grade-school math education should be able to recognize A=BCD and I=JK,K=QP as distinct in the literal sense but identical in some higher one. So, once again, it's obvious that we are looking at different ways of expressing the same thing; a thing which hasn't yet been proven not to exist, even though no way of expressing it can by itself be more than just "a different way."
So, one step above algebra and two steps above specific calculations, there's the concepts. From a scientific perspective unless you think the brain is supernatural it's really to be expected that ideas are no more than symbols. BUT: for the same reasons as the two cases above, it has yet to be shown that the concepts are not themselves dancing around a still higher truth, each (effectively true) idea differing only in the baggage of being human; that silly but fun phrase referring to how we like symbols but are presumably using them to mean something.
[0]https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/language-thought/#ObjLOT
That's a moot point, I think, as it can be argued easily that thought is a language itself, or requires one (whether it's a human language like english, or a language of symbols, or some other form of structured description of events and thoughts, even the structure just happens at the chemical level in the brain).
>Specific expressions of models are all equally good by the "correspondence" measure as well: anyone with even a grade-school math education should be able to recognize A=BCD and I=JK,K=QP as distinct in the literal sense but identical in some higher one. So, once again, it's obvious that we are looking at different ways of expressing the same thing; a thing which hasn't yet been proven not to exist, even though no way of expressing it can by itself be more than just "a different way."
It's obvious in these examples -- which, coincidentally are all from math (trigonometry, coordinate systems), that is the quintessential non-empirical/reality-based domain. It's easy to find isomorphisms like that in math, since that's inherent in their core purpose.
It's not obvious (or true) for the general case, talking about the outside world.
I do think that there's a mind-independent world that gives us basic referents to represent. But the world is not cut at the joints (it doesn't come self-divided into identifiable objects) and is not self-interpreting (it does not represent itself to us). Thales, the first philosopher, certainly had a concept of water - he thought that everything in the universe was made of water. But despite the fact that the referent is the same, his concept of water is markedly different from our own. There is not an unmediated correspondence between the concept and the referent; hence the historical variability and contingency.
As an aside, I do think it's worth mentioning that the propositions:
> it's simply not the case, however robust the scientific results, that you have direct access to the 'pure nature of the world in itself'.
and
> There is no thought independent of the language we use to represent the world
are really completely separate. I heartily disagree with the second (Wittgenstein?), and heartily agree with the first (any philosopher who's not a naive realist?) :)
---
* Martin Rees is a well informed guy, and I'm sure he knows what philosophy of science is and has maybe even read some of it, but apparently he didn't choose to mention it. Sure, maybe that would be getting a bit too heavy for The Atlantic, but still... grrrrr...
And yes, I think Wittgenstein's Philosophical Investigations is the most profound book that I have ever read. My view of the world was transformed upon reading it, though it took a couple of years to properly digest.
I agree that a lot of the tech community is neither well read in philosophy (or the humanities in general for that matter), nor believes that they should be. Sometimes that creates wonderfully naive attempts to think of philosophy as one would code, but in general, it leads to a really one-dimensional view of the social world.
When I'm asked that I just say, "begone, dream-foulers." Then all of the idealists in the universe disppear.
There are no "objective truths" (that's metaphysics).
Science is a process to find which models/hypotheses make more accurate predictions and have more explanatory power.
>It relies upon consistency, if a counterexample is found to a theory that theory is considered incorrect. New theories must match all existing data.
That (a popular but naive epistemology) doesn't hold with how scientific process actually works.
New theories can have counterexamples or be unable to match all existing data and still be successful in providing a handier model for more phenomena. Theories might even be inconsistent with other theories (e.g. QM and relativity) and still co-exist and successfully grow while searching for a unification factor (whether that's successful or not).
New theories can succeed (and historically have been known to) even when not accounting for all existing known facts predicted by earlier ones. In other words, more explanatory power doesn't necessarily mean a complete superset. The intersection might not cover 100%.
And that's just for hard sciences. For soft sciences, from economics to social sciences, it's even fuzzier.