Re:Will Supreme Court open a ‘dam burst’ of legalized sports...
by billysbeanes on Sunday November 26, 2017 @10:13PM
(#15784552)
Worth noting that this field is reaching diminishing returns due to analyses. You might be 2% better than a stock analysis, but that's usually not a sufficient edge to exploit profitably unless you're talking HUGE numbers.
Finding a problem someone has, solving it with analysis, and offering to license/sell it to them (once it's proven to work) is probably more lucrative.
Unless you're chasing the variable rewards skinner box. In that case, I'd probably just take up a cocaine habit -- it'll be cheaper.
Re:Will Supreme Court open a ‘dam burst’ of legalized sports...
by kodablah on Monday November 27, 2017 @01:53PM
(#15790001)
Late response, but figured I'd mention that we have new variables now that we didn't always. Pitch FX, fielder location, etc. Not that it makes a huge different, but playing daily and averaging out over time, it can really affect matchups (again, over a large enough sample size).
As for predictive analytics themselves, you can dig into all the metrics you want, but training/backcasting is how I'd approach it.
0 - https://github.com/cretz/software-ideas/issues/43
1 - http://gdx.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2017/