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Re:Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995) by yarg on Sunday November 26, 2017 @04:03AM (#15780079)
The hot hand fallacy fallacy. The trials are not independant (there's a feedback loop) and the initial probabilities are not fixed from game to game.
Re:Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995) by yarg on Sunday November 26, 2017 @04:08AM (#15780091)
(Or rather, the hot-hand fallacy misapplication.)