Re:America in grave danger from terrorists? The numbers tell...
by Thriptic on Sunday November 05, 2017 @06:04PM
(#15632300)
Actually I think it's the focus on large scale attacks that keeps us safe. From a psychological perspective, a series of seemingly random small scale attacks drawn out over several months would be far more devastating and fear inducing than one big attack (baring use of a chemical or nuclear weapon). Imagine a mass shooting every week in various locations (a mall, a hospital, a sporting event, a rural location). People would be afraid to go outside even though the overall damage and risk to them at a population level would be relatively minimal.
Why don't people do this? My guess is because it's not sexy. People want to participate in a high profile huge attack, not a small random shooting which by itself doesn't do much.
Large scale attacks are inherently watched for, planned for, and guarded against. Small scale attacks are almost impossible to guard against and stop.
Re:America in grave danger from terrorists? The numbers tell...
by chrismcb on Sunday November 05, 2017 @06:00PM
(#15632280)
My theory is in general criminals are dumb. I think most people realize that, long term, crime didn't pay. Smart people realize it is easier to make and keep money if they make it legally.
Similarly smart people realize that being a terrorist didn't really pay either. Unless they are a psycopath, being a terrorist doesn't get them anywhere.
It is fortunate because we aren't really ready for a criminal Mastermind.
It's like the existing terrorists aren't smart enough to think of such attacks, aren't skilled enough to execute them, or aren't interested and are content with relatively minor (though still very tragic and media attention-grabbing) attacks.
It could also be that the agencies charged with keeping us safe are actually doing a good job at preventing those larger scale attacks, which makes sense for attacks like the 9/11 ones, which required a lot of coordination and cooperation between the participants and are therefore vulnerable to being spied upon and/or infiltrated, but not so much for other "lone-wolf" sort of attacks, many of which really don't require much skill and no cooperation or coordination with anyone else.
So I'm not sure how to explain not seeing any large-scale attacks by lone-wolves or even small terrorist cells except as lack of interest or knowledge on the part of the terrorists.