The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession

Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by maxerickson on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @08:05AM (#15600410)

Here in the US it is evident that we have plenty of resources available, the "supply" part of the economy is working great. There are people that have limited access to this fountain of goods, probably for multiple reasons.

There's an argument to be made that making a number bigger in a ledger for the sake of increasing access to that fountain of goods is not a "crisis".

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by Retric on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @08:31AM (#15600533)

200+% inflation rates destroy the meaning of any such ledger really quickly. The US had 17% inflation rates* fairly recently and just avoided that cliff.

Higest short term rate listed: 23.7% in june 1920. http://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/historical-in...

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by maxerickson on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:15AM (#15600822)

I'm suspicious that Volcker breaking the back of inflation is one of the factors behind lower growth over the last 30 years.

The theory being that the Fed is good at balancing growth and inflation but too conservative.

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by emodendroket on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:41AM (#15601021)

Well, sure, in theory, but he deliberately induced a recession, right? It seems like a plausible claim to me. http://theweek.com/articles/618964/forgotten-recession-that-...

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:04AM (#15600764)

> The US has 17% inflation rates fairly recently

I'll bite. What's your source.

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by daxorid on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:30AM (#15600929)

17% is a little high, but I'm guessing the GP is referring to 1980:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_1980s_recession#Inflatio...

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Re:The U.S. Isn’t Prepared for the Next Recession by Retric on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:20AM (#15601321)

Annual inflation capped at "1980 soared to 13.5%", but the inflation rate spiked above that in the same year.

http://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/historical-in... lists a peak of 14.8% but if have seen 17% elsewhere.

1917-1920 had some periods over 20%.

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