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Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @02:13AM (#15599139)
So, if bitcoin has no value in illegal trade, what is the intrinsic value bitcoin has left (other than speculative value, that is)? Honest question. To me, a couple of transactions per second with high fees compared to the competition does not sound attractive. Is it the optionality that the devs _may_ sort out the scalability issues and transform bitcoin to something big? Even then you still have the issue of volatility left which dramatically lessens the usability of bitcoin as a currency.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by banderman on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:31AM (#15601434)
People use bitcoin to buy the other coins that are used for illegal trade.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:34AM (#15601468)
Well, that sounds like a long term value proposal...
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ghostbrainalpha on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @11:21AM (#15602044)
My housekeeper spends almost $40 to wire $500 to her family in Bogota.

I can transfer $5,000 to my brother in Ukraine for, essentially 0 using Bitcoin.

You are correct that the fees may be too high for typical consumer transactions like buying a soda from a vending machine. But for large transactions, and institutions moving money around Bitcoin provides a big advantage.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by jpiabrantes on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @05:11PM (#15605513)
There are now services specific for this that work very well. Example: https://transferwise.com/u/joaoi
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @11:45AM (#15602342)
Can you explain me what is the current status in dollar terms if I want now to send 5000 dollars from my bank account to your brother in ukraine, when does he have usable it in his local currency, how much disappears on the way in transaction costs and how long exposure I have to BTC price?

How does that compare to e.g. paypal?

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ghostbrainalpha on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @12:37PM (#15602969)
Paypal is great. The transfer would be instant, but the price is 2.9%, which is pretty high.

The cost to transfer from wallet to wallet, is about $4.00 right now. This destroys Pay Pal where the cost which would be $145.00, if you do this wallet to wallet transfer at night it could take 30 minutes to move from person to person. This is fine for us, but obviously will never work for transactions in a store.

He can then use a site like Coinbase, to sell the Bitcoin and then withdraw the Bitcoin into his local bank/currency. This can happen in as fast as 4 days, but as much as a week. I'm not sure if that's on Coinbase or his local bank, but it actually has nothing to do with Bitcoin.

But the amount being transferred is fixed before the withdrawal starts, so it the time he is exposed to Bitcoin price fluctuations is only a few hours.

Basically it comes down to this. If you can afford to wait a week to access your funds Bitcoin is a great way to transfer large sums of money. If you need the money immediately you still need to pay a high fee to Pay Pal, or an even higher fee to Western Union to the less technically inclined.

http://mashable.com/2017/08/28/bitcoin-transaction-fees/#.7b...

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @12:54PM (#15603170)
https://support.coinbase.com/customer/portal/articles/210959...

Please correct me if I am wrong, but it very much looks like I need to pay minimum 1.49% to convert from USD to BTC and also your brother needs to pay minimum 1.49% before he has gotten his local currency. So this is more expensive than Paypal?

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ghostbrainalpha on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @01:31PM (#15603547)
I'm sorry, I am not the best representative to explain, and I'm also trying to make this easy to understand, rather than provide the actual guide. Hopefully someone more qualified can comment on this with corrections.

Most people who do significant transactions on Coinbase actually use the trading tool called GDAX. Which can be a little scary to look at first. It's a trading platform owned by Coinbase and transfers between the platforms are completely free.

Purchasing and selling directly through Coinbase has a similar fee to Paypal, especially if you are buying with a credit card.

Coinbase takes my money in U.S. dollars, then I transfer to GDAX, buy Bitcoin. You could actually skip Coinbase entirely and just use Gdax but the Coinbase interface is nice and its easy and I like to do it this way.

GDAX charges a .25% fee on the "taker" of a transaction. The maker/taker dynamic I am not equipped to explain, but only 1 of the parties pays that fee. If both my brother and I got hit with the taker fee on our transactions we would be losing .5% total, still much less than Paypal.

This fee could be avoided entirely by becoming the "maker" but that exposes you to some risk, because you are setting the price you think Bitcoin should be traded at, and you must wait for someone to agree to the price you are setting.

https://www.gdax.com/fees/BTC-USD

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @03:18PM (#15604619)
I am more interested in the costs and timelines than a guide, so this is helpful, thanks.

But still I fail to understand what is the case where bitcoin is a competitive option to get money from bank account to another. in addition to the possible 0.25% fee you are anyway facing the bid ask spread over two currency exchanges (usd-> btc and btc -> target currency) and if you compare those to bank transfer costs, I just don't see how looping through btc could be more economical.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by celticninja on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @03:41PM (#15604794)
I use localbitcoins to convert to my local currency, as a result I usually can make more cash as it is possible to sell to buyers at anywhere up to 5% above market rate and have the money in 48-72 hours. If I need the cash quickly I can sell at market rate and have the money in my bank within 24 hours usually.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ghostbrainalpha on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @03:55PM (#15604896)
That's another good option, but I avoided mentioning it because getting 5% above market makes me worried you are assisting someone involved in money laundering.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by celticninja on Friday November 03, 2017 @12:59PM (#15620600)
Those sales tend to be small(ish) sums(<$1000) paid for in cash or bank transfer. i am not worried about money laundering at those levels. the danger of bitcoin for money laundering is blown out of all proportion in comparison to good old cash.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @12:48PM (#15603108)
I think you forgot that I started with having the 5000 dollars on my bank account. So I need to convert them first to BTC before I can do the transaction. What are coinbase fees, and how much does this process add to the time of exposure to BTC price?

Also, if you can afford to wait days, you do not compare to paypal, but to a normal international bank transfer. Haven't done that for a while, but I assume that cost is around 10-20 dollars.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ghostbrainalpha on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @01:33PM (#15603563)
A normal international bank transfer costs more than that if currency conversion is required. It depends on the banks and country you are transferring to.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by homero on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @05:13AM (#15599719)
I use it as a store of value
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @05:17AM (#15599729)
I would somehow think that an entity that has no intrinsic value, but only speculative value is quite bad store of value? (Of course, you are more than welcome to correct my hypothesis by indicating what is the intrinsic value bitcoin has. I thought that illegal trade was one of the major ones, but the parent told me that even that is there no more.)
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by kypro on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:00AM (#15600138)
If you want an asset to maintain it's current value, then its demand and supply must also maintain their values.

People talk about Bitcoin as "digital gold", but in reality it's not even close, and no crypto ever will be. Gold is valuable because there is a fixed natural supply, and throughout human history, across many civilisations and societies, gold has always been worth something - unlike our fiat currencies who's supply can be altered and made valueless.

The problem with Bitcoin isn't it's supply, it's that it's value relies on it's demand remaining high (or at least maintaining current levels). Problem is there is no historic reason or intrinsic value to bitcoin to assume it will continue to have steady demand like gold.

More worryingly in my opinion is that bitcoin's current demand isn't really for bitcoin at all. The demand is to make USD fast. The moment people realise Bitcoin might not give them returns similar to other safe investments, it will crash like all other bubbles do.

I'm not saying people who get in early won't make loads of money, plenty of people made money from the dotcom bubble too, but you need to be smart about it and understand the risk. At $6,500 bitcoin's market cap is far beyond PayPal's which provides a genuinely useful service and processes millions of dollars of transactions every day.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by tlrobinson on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:53AM (#15600362)
Out of curiosity, what percentage of the world's gold is used for anything other than a store of value (which, arguably, much jewelry is as well)
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by ywain on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:59AM (#15601164)
According to Wikipedia:

> The world consumption of new gold produced is about 50% in jewelry, 40% in investments, and 10% in industry.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by padobson on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @12:10PM (#15602628)
Gold is also one of the more conductive metals - that's another use that would provide a floor to its value. If the the momentum from using it as a store of value ever slowed and the price dropped, there would be a myriad of uses for it in electronics and medicine.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by homero on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @06:37AM (#15600032)
That's true if that's what people believe. But Bitcoin is transforming into a store of value vs a currency right now and if more people begin believing that then it's true. It's like that for gold, except gold is losing that with millennials.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:41AM (#15600310)
Now, a good store of value to me means that the value is stable. And yes, also gold is really bad store of value by that measure.

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gold_price_in_USD.pn...

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by darawk on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @03:20AM (#15599370)
Volatility is something that will (and has) settle over time. All currencies are volatile at first. Volatility is not really a criticism of a currency, unless that volatility is somehow intrinsic to it.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @04:46AM (#15599614)
But that is _exactly_ what is the case with bitcoin. It by design has no mechanism to manage supply, so only thing that affects price is demand, and as demand varies, there is volatility. So volatility _is_ intrinsic to bitcoin.

(And to be clear, I do not mean volatility against other currencies, but volatility against your consumption basket, bread, butter etc.)

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by Retric on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @09:55AM (#15601134)
Only if you turn Volatility into a meaningless phrase. The euro may as well be flat from conception vs. Bitcoin which has been around for a long time and still ridiculously volatile.

IMO, most fan-fiction is worse than the original, the best fan-fiction is often better.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by pmorici on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @06:47AM (#15600071)
The intrinsic value is in all the trade going on that isn’t illegal. It is a huge deal for the FX markets for example among other things. Cross boarder trade as well.

The transaction rate issue is 99% political in fighting and that has basically been solved or will be by mid November.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:15AM (#15600198)
Sorry, I have not been following Bitcoin news lately. Could you give a comparison of the expected transaction capacity, expected fees and expected time to confirm a transaction by mid November against typical credit card company? That would give some basis to estimate the value bitcoin is creating against the competitors.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by pmorici on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:43AM (#15600322)
They are doubling transaction capacity. Pennies to move millions for a simple transaction.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @08:15AM (#15600447)
and doubling the capacity solves all scalability problems? That is still minuscule capacity to enable any serious use of bitcoin as means of payment.

And if the simple transaction is me purchasing a pizza instead of transferring a million from one speculator to another? How much does it cost and how much it takes time?

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by once_inc on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @12:17PM (#15602725)
Bitcoin doesn't easily scale in its current form. For that, people have invented the Lightning Network (https://lightning.network). LN is a layer 2 solution which sacrifices a modicum of trustlessness in favor of fewer on-chain transactions. Suppose you want to buy a cup of coffee every day with the same vendor. You could agree to do all transactions in the Lightning Network, reducing the number of on-chain transactions from 30 to 2. This cuts fees and increases usability.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by raducu on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @07:47AM (#15600340)
Genuinely curious -- as far as I know, the current 7 transactions per second is a limitation of the 1Mb block size and the proposal was for a 8Mb block size, would that mean 56 transactions per second(that still doesn't sound too impressive to me)?
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by flashdance on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:00AM (#15601172)
Bitcoin's block size should begin to approach 1.8MB (with a super theoretical maximum of 4MB IIRC) now that the segregated witness upgrade has been activated. In the long term, additional scalability can be done using the lightning network and/or sidechains.

In dirt-simple terms, the lightning network allows you to squash several transactions taking place over a long period of time into one of a much smaller size. It also allows instant payments. [1]

Another way to scale is using sidechains, which shift the transaction burden onto a complementing chain that has a two-way peg to bitcoin. [2]

Neither of these are production-ready yet, but should help improve scalability by a couple of orders of magnitude in the long run.

That being said the current price bubble is out of control and I would strongly warn you away from buying any--and for the sake of full disclosure and identifying my bias I do hold some cryptocurrency.

[1] https://lightning.network/

[2] https://blockstream.com/technology/sidechains.pdf

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:28AM (#15601406)
Who/what I trust if I make a transaction in these solutions? Obviously it is not bitcon blockchain that I can be trusting?
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by flashdance on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @10:42AM (#15601549)
With lightning it's still ultimately settled on the bitcoin network.

Here's a lazy copy/paste from the site:

> The Lightning Network is dependent upon the underlying technology of the blockchain. By using real Bitcoin/blockchain transactions and using its native smart-contract scripting language, it is possible to create a secure network of participants which are able to transact at high volume and high speed.

> Bidirectional Payment Channels. Two participants create a ledger entry on the blockchain which requires both participants to sign off on any spending of funds. Both parties create transactions which refund the ledger entry to their individual allocation, but do not broadcast them to the blockchain. They can update their individual allocations for the ledger entry by creating many transactions spending from the current ledger entry output. Only the most recent version is valid, which is enforced by blockchain-parsable smart-contract scripting. This entry can be closed out at any time by either party without any trust or custodianship by broadcasting the most recent version to the blockchain.

> Lightning Network. By creating a network of these two-party ledger entries, it is possible to find a path across the network similar to routing packets on the internet. The nodes along the path are not trusted, as the payment is enforced using a script which enforces the atomicity (either the entire payment succeeds or fails) via decrementing time-locks.

> Blockchain as Arbiter. As a result, it is possible to conduct transactions off-blockchain without limitations. Transactions can be made off-chain with confidence of on-blockchain enforceability. This is similar to how one makes many legal contracts with others, but one does not go to court every time a contract is made. By making the transactions and scripts parsable, the smart-contract can be enforced on-blockchain. Only in the event of non-cooperation is the court involved – but with the blockchain, the result is deterministic.

I haven't explored sidechains enough to give you a competent tl;dr but the security model is discussed in the whitepaper I linked.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @11:01AM (#15601724)
Do I understand it right that if I want to purchase some pizzas over time that pay 1 BTC each, I make an account with the pizzeria where I put 10 BTC that I own, each time I buy a pizza, the transaction is added to the lightning ledger, and if one of us wants to settle the thing for whatever reason after four pizzas, a transaction is transmitted to blockhain where I get 6 BTC back and pizzeria gets 4?

I do not quite see how that increases the real world capacity by orders of magnitude. I mean if we assume that people actually spend their money to quite a few different places and everyone would require a significant overhead of a single transaction to be committed for unspecified time. Further, it requires a minimum of two transactions on the blockchain fore each lightning ledger, so if I buy pizza today, and need to close that ledger to buy a sandwich tomorrow, that brings three transactions to blockchain. Of course, you can optimize this, but still, orders of magnitude sounds optimistic.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by flashdance on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @01:40PM (#15603634)
You wouldn't have a self contained lightning channel with every single merchant that has to be settled individually. I'm not sure what makes you think that, as my last post describes why the lightning network has "network" in the name.

I recommend you read the summary on lightning.network.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by beefield on Thursday November 02, 2017 @02:28AM (#15608280)
Ok. I am not sure if I still understand completely, but there is a possibility that that could solve the scalability issues technically.

The issue it does not solve, though, is the volatility.

Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by flashdance on Thursday November 02, 2017 @09:30AM (#15610211)
Yeah the volatility is a huge problem right now, agreed! There's a lot of greed, too. It reminds me of 2013, but worse.
Re:Bitcoin Futures Could Open the Floodgates for Institution... by 55555 on Wednesday November 01, 2017 @05:28AM (#15599767)
Bitcoin is gold for millennials.