News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy by darkerside on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:19PM (#15586231)
Think of it this way. With one final chance left, you should really bet 100% to maximize your expected value.
Re:The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy by goldenkey on Monday October 30, 2017 @07:21PM (#15589881)
That seems contrary to the criterion... Expected value dismisses risk and the fact that once someone loses their money, it is much harder to gain it back.

If you have 100 dollars..and you lose 50% of it on a fair coin bet, you now have $50.

Say you play again..You win. Youll only have $75 ($50 times 150%.)

Thats the basis of risk analysis. That losing and winning arent equal for finite bankrolls just because their probabilities are equal.