Re:The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy
by zimablue on Monday October 30, 2017 @04:57AM
(#15583755)
I don't think that changes the conclusion, you're just moving from discrete to in theory continuous but in practise modellable as discrete.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy
by jiggunjer on Monday October 30, 2017 @06:49AM
(#15584115)
It prompts very different behavior, to extend the coin flip metaphor: If you could slow down time and see the flip turning bad, you could quickly withdraw your bet. Then you'd be much more likely to bet a higher fraction.
Re:The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy
by padobson on Monday October 30, 2017 @03:17PM
(#15588021)
I was thinking about this while reading. The Dot Com and Sub Prime mortgage crashes took a lot of people buy surprise, but not everyone. Moving into T-bills, cash, or precious metals at the beginning of those downturns would be enough to make the 2x Kelly and 3x Kelly perform better.