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Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by ChuckMcM on Thursday October 12, 2017 @06:26PM (#15461801)
I'm guessing they will announce an immersive universe with a lot of pop references to the '80s where you can transact business, go to school, or just adventure :-).

More seriously, the last time a company spent this much money in a vacuum it did not turn out well for them. I'd love to believe they have an idea worth billions but struggle to come up with any plausible way to imagine such a value without major dependencies on a much bigger ecosystem. (see Occulus Rift and the computer gaming industry as an example of inter dependence issues)

Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by soneca on Thursday October 12, 2017 @08:06PM (#15462388)
Maybe they are building San Junipero (Black Mirror: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Junipero)
Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by QAPereo on Thursday October 12, 2017 @08:46PM (#15462559)
Karl Guttag, who’s views I trust in this area, wrote some blogs on the topic a while ago. He was not impressed: http://www.kguttag.com/2016/11/20/magic-leap-separating-magi...

If you want all happiness and butterflies, as well as elephants in your hand and whales jumping in auditoriums, or some tall tale of 50 megapixel displays and of how great it will be someday, you have come to the wrong place. I’m putting the puzzle together based on the evidence and filling in with what is likely to be possible in both the next few years and for the next decade.

Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by Alex3917 on Thursday October 12, 2017 @08:05PM (#15462386)
> the last time a company spent this much money in a vacuum it did not turn out well for them.

And the one before that, the iPhone, was the most successful product of all time.

Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by rburhum on Thursday October 12, 2017 @08:11PM (#15462413)
The iPhone was not built with venture money. Your comparison does not hold at all.
Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by new299 on Thursday October 12, 2017 @09:32PM (#15462704)
While I agree the situation was very different, arguably the iPhone was built with venture money.

NeXT did receive venture funding (which obviously became the core os MacOS and iOS). Fingerworks, was also a key acquisition. I can't find any information about the funding Fingerworks received, but being a university spin out it seems likely that they received at least seed funding.

Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by rburhum on Saturday October 14, 2017 @01:19PM (#15473127)
Oh geez, if you want to play the linear game, you can even trace the Android development to the Roman empire.

To put the conversation back in a grounded and reasonable list of arguments, let's start with the premise that technology != business.

So even if the tech that Magic Leap is creating is so great, by the time they go to market, they will be competing with an ecosystem already in place. Apple will have all the apps that have been built with their ARKit (not to mention their App Store monetization strategy). Sony, FB/Oculus, HTC and MS are already at the infancy of developing something serious there. If Magic Leap came out with a product today, they are already starting behind.

If we take in consideration price point, it even becomes a more challenging scenario.

Re:Magic Leap raising up to $1B in new round by othersideofcoin on Friday October 13, 2017 @01:31AM (#15463470)
From a risk perspective, incorrect. Its only from the hindsight, where the iPhone development could be perceived as linear, that this is correct.

Fingerworks, and any others, were acquired after risk factors went down. Never forget your own hindsight bias, where the pdf collapses to 1.