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Re:Buffett wins $1M decade-old bet that the S&P500 would out... by Retric on Monday September 18, 2017 @09:46AM (#15275850)
They don't consistently average 70% returns.

Feel free to list the years they had over 70% returns vs less than 70% returns.

Re:Buffett wins $1M decade-old bet that the S&P500 would out... by dsacco on Monday September 18, 2017 @09:52AM (#15275899)
That was a misnomer, you're right. But that doesn't meaningfully impact my point. An average annual 70% return, some years greater (notably, 2008) and some years lesser, but only a very small number of down quarters or months in the same time frame.
Re:Buffett wins $1M decade-old bet that the S&P500 would out... by Retric on Monday September 18, 2017 @09:57AM (#15275940)
Don't forget to include the preceding 30% drop which reduces both the total returns directly and rate of return as the fund operated over a longer period.

Further, they stopped publishing returns suggesting an even lower long term average.

So, you are looking at a biased subset of a funds returns not total returns which greatly shifts the probability's.