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Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @04:55PM (#15203875)
That's funny, my takeaway was that the vast majority of the US has incredibly affordable housing.

But I suppose if your call center employees simply must be living in downtown S.F. the answer must be that we just need lax zoning and higher density!

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by danans on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:13PM (#15204627)
> But I suppose if your call center employees simply must be living in downtown S.F. the answer must be that we just need lax zoning and higher density!

The call center employees living en masse in SF is a very far fetched claim that requires strong evidence here, along with the implication that they are what necessitates higher density.

This framing is insensitive to both call center workers who likely could never afford to live in SF and those who are paying the price of anti development NIMBYism in the Bay Area housing market.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:17PM (#15204651)
Hmm... I never said anything about "en masse". It was a reference to the Yelp/Eat24 call center employee controversy from last year. [1] In cases like these, I think it's very reasonable to question why those kinds of jobs should be the ones increasing demand in SF and, therefore, driving up prices for everyone else.

If you think my framing is insensitive to call center employees, I think you may have misunderstood me. I was condescending to the call center employers who are causing undue financial stress on their employees by making S.F. relo a job requirement for what should be a satellite office, if not remote work, position.

My point is also that people who struggle to afford the high cost of living in the "Real Bay Area" [2] -- of which I was one -- should perhaps consider, I don't know, moving -- which I did.

The idea that SF should be redesigned and reconstructed until such time as supply is so plentiful as to bring down prices an order of magnitude, to me that's the offensive bit. I think the property owners of SF are well within their rights to tell people who want to build affordable housing towers to get lost.

[1] - https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2016/02/23...

[2] - See: http://www.burbed.com

P.S. If this comes off as a little combative, I apologize, my dad is in a house on the canal in Cape Coral, FL right now and refusing to evacuate.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by danans on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:57PM (#15204831)
> The idea that SF should be redesigned and reconstructed until such time as supply is so plentiful as to bring down prices an order of magnitude, to me that's the offensive bit.

Not sure where you get the idea that it should be redesigned, but I do think that incremental [1] upzoning in places where demand exceeds supply of housing (in SF and beyond) makes a great deal of sense.

[1] https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2015/12/16/incremental-d...

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by woodpanel on Saturday September 09, 2017 @05:13AM (#15206215)
> I think the property owners of SF are well within their rights to tell people who want to build affordable housing towers to get lost.

And that is the problem!

The concept of property ownership is crucial when it comes to NIMBY vs. YIMBY. Because with politically entrenched tight zoning, property owners can tell others what to do with their property too.

Whereas in cities with lax zoning you effectively get stronger property rights. And in countries which constitutionally protect property ownership you basically see a very elastic housing market and thus not as much gentrification/housing-shortages.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by quickthrower2 on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:42PM (#15204770)
> I think the property owners of SF are well within their rights to tell people who want to build affordable housing towers to get lost

Technically correct, first amendment and all. But really you are pro-NIMBY?

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @11:13PM (#15205380)
It does seem pretty fundamental to me. I do think communities should be allowed to organize themselves in basic ways that are not discriminatory against protected classes.

Zoning is pretty important. A neighbor recently subdivided his large lot into 3, and having enough frontage on the street meant they could do it without zoning board approval. The houses they are building were designed precisely to push to the max against every possible zoning bylaw; setbacks 1 inch above the minimum, building height-above-grade 1 inch below the maximum, lot coverage ratio 1% below the maximum, etc.

Then their proposed septic failed perc testing at ground level, and since they didn't want an "unsightly mound" in their backyard, they brought in about 80,000 cu yards of dirt and raised the whole lot up by ~20 ft! Because the bylaw was written as building height calculated against finished grade, not natural grade there was nothing stopping them from creating their hill. Well, they did have to build a substantial drainage system around the perimeter because it's illegal to increase stormwater runoff from a lot in the natural vs. finished state, but we'll see how long that lasts...

Builders will cut every corner, push every limit, and develop to the absolute highest density to maximize profits. Of course building codes and zoning bylaws make housing more expensive to build. Getting a glimpse at what builders will do given the chance, to literally my back yard, I really, really wouldn't want to see what would happen if zoning boards could be overridden by outside developers wanting to "increase supply".

For example, most of the new construction in SF is rental units. You can't buy it, you can't own it. It's going to be mostly corporate housing, run by corporate property managers, with cookie-cutter units, probably poorly run and poorly maintained.

I've been on a condo board for ~10 years. Building a community is hard work! But as the rental ratio in the complex climbed from 0% to 32% over the last 10 years, there's a stark difference between renters and owners in how people treat the units and common areas, treat their neighbors, and the level of involvement and care they have for the complex itself. Certainly some owners create problems, but having a vested interest makes a big difference vs. certain renters who could give a shit. And, problematically, when the owners move away and decide to rent, they usually stop giving a shit too.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by taway_1212 on Saturday September 09, 2017 @08:13AM (#15206720)
> This framing is insensitive to both call center workers

Capitalism is a ladder (To paraphrase a certain GoT character). No one has to be a call center worker till the end of their days, it's just stuff you do until you can find a better job (perhaps after attaining some extra training in your off-hours).

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by sbenitoj on Friday September 08, 2017 @04:57PM (#15203896)
Ha, well in non-major cities you're right, but all the major cities cost an arm and a leg for the most part!
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by ghaff on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:33PM (#15204116)
In addition to less expensive cities, in many in-demand cities (SF not so much), it's actually possible to live in many nice suburbs/exurbs for a lot less money. That's often even where most of the tech jobs are.

Boston/Cambridge? Expensive. But 45 mins or so out? Far less so. And you're closer to where most of the jobs are anyway. The urban cores may be a lifestyle choice. But it's a luxury choice in many cases. Not a place that someone actually has to live if they want to work.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by majormajor on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:12PM (#15204006)
Leave the coasts and you can find all sorts of multiple-million-people cities with far cheaper housing.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by twobyfour on Saturday September 09, 2017 @11:27AM (#15207524)
Are you sure about that? There are only a couple cities in the US other than NYC and LA that have populations of 2M or more, and only 10 cities total with populations above a million in the last census.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by matthewbauer on Saturday September 09, 2017 @03:30PM (#15208770)
If you count entire metro areas, there are at least 50.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:08PM (#15203980)
Well the only way to drive down price is to either increase supply or decrease demand. So make cities shitier and denser.

Is this a case where a small increase in supply would decrease the price significantly? I doubt it.

So, is there some reason we (as a nation) need to double population density of our largest cities? With the huge advances we are likely to see in autonomous zero-emission delivery infrastructure and remote communication over the next 20 years, not to mention the increasing likelihood of natural disasters and WMDs hitting these cities, I really don't see the point of pushing for so much urban growth.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by brightball on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:36PM (#15204129)
Because I keep seeing articles pop up over the last few years trying to convince me that suburbs are basically evil incarnate for some reason. It gets to the point where it feels like a political platform.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:40PM (#15204763)
There's definitely a political platform here. Economic models claiming suburbs are beyond bankrupt and destined for failure. [1]

Apparently my property taxes can't even cover the cost of pavement and water mains, and yet we just built a new school, and are in the process of planning a $20 million library.

[1] - https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2017/1/9/the-real-reason...

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by throwawayjava on Saturday September 09, 2017 @08:56AM (#15206854)
> Apparently my property taxes can't even cover the cost of pavement and water mains, and yet we just built a new school, and are in the process of planning a $20 million library

From the link: "If they operated on accrual accounting -- where you account for your long term liabilities -- instead of a cash basis -- where you don't -- they would have been bankrupt decades ago"

The PF analogy to what you're saying is "yeah I'm dipping into savings to make mortgage payments and need to replace my roof next year and repair a major crack in the foundation. But they let me open a credit card and get a loan for a car, so what's the problem?"

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by kelnos on Friday September 08, 2017 @09:02PM (#15205031)
> Well the only way to drive down price is to either increase supply or decrease demand. So make cities shitier and denser.

That's just, like, your opinion, man. I prefer living in denser environments.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @11:41PM (#15205455)
Shitier may be orthogonal to denser.

But to your point, if denser is so much better, will increased density lead to lower prices, or just create more demand and keep prices the same?

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by culturalzero on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:01PM (#15203932)
You clearly don't know what it's like to live on minimum wage right now. It's extremely difficult to live anywhere even close to the Bay area on minimum wage, which let's be real, a call center employee would be on. Public transportation options get figured in there too. I'm very fortunate to have a good job now, but it wasn't all that long ago I was scraping by on near minimum wage.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:12PM (#15204013)
No, I understand exactly and I think we are in violent agreement.

One cannot afford to live in the Bay Area on anything near minimum wage. So fuck "The Real Bay Area" and live just about anywhere else in the continental US.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by maxerickson on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:16PM (#15204034)
Median wage is 2-3x the minimum wage.

So housing affordability on minimum wage in most of the US is closer to California at median wage than it is to most of the US at median wage.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by zaroth on Friday September 08, 2017 @11:47PM (#15205470)
TFA shows that in well over 50% of the land mass of the continental US, houses can be bought for 1 year of median wages.

Living on minimum wage is hard anywhere. The question is -- is it OK if there is 5-10% of the continental US where it's impossible to live on minimum wage? I think that yes that's probably OK...

Is it OK that for some [relatively small number of] cities, that median wage feels like minimum wage? Why is that a problem when people have the choice to live there or not?

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by rconti on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:13PM (#15204017)
The point of the parent post is the vast amounts of land that contain cheap housing.

Of course, it doesn't address how easy it is to find a job in the first place in those locations, but it's a great point nonetheless.

Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by angersock on Friday September 08, 2017 @05:12PM (#15204007)
This is one of the reasons companies have a strategic advantage when they let their CS folks work remotely.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by jrochkind1 on Friday September 08, 2017 @08:18PM (#15204900)
I think it's probably extremely hard to live nearly anywhere in the U.S. on minimum wage.
Re:How Many Years of Life Does That House Cost? by pjmorris on Saturday September 09, 2017 @08:30AM (#15206776)
> That's funny, my takeaway was that the vast majority of the US has incredibly affordable housing.

What are you comparing against? In the US, the old rule of thumb (up until the ~1990's) was that you shouldn't buy more house than 2X your income. That's more affordable than what is depicted here.

EDIT: I've added link to a Calculated Risk post on the ratio between US house prices and median income since 1976 [0]. By their estimates, the typical ratio has been 3X, low by your standards.

[0] http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/07/house-prices-to-na...