Gotta love Reddit in Turkey then. (Possibly already blocked though)

"Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake strikes off Mexico's coast. A Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake was predicted by a Redditor just a day earlier on this subreddit."

https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yss3m/magnitud...

r/conspiracy aside, looks like the redditor's main theory is that there is some sort of casual link between solar flares and earthquakes. Should be an easy thing for a data scientist to debunk or validate...

> r/conspiracy aside

:)

> Should be an easy thing for a data scientist to debunk or validate...

He's calling those with said skills to help him. From his announcement:

> If you are good at statistical analysis we could use your help. Please pm me.

Link: https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultim...

The funny thing is almost everything outside of r/conspiracy and a few other places is a conspiracy theory site for conspiracies including Russiagate.

He predicted an earthquake in the Philippines and other areas that didn't happen 2 months ago and one in New Zealand 1 month ago. He also made a prediction for a 9.0 earthquake in Nepal after the eclipse and slowly dropped the number over the days to fish out a "prediction". He was also hedging his bets on this earthquake and was giving preference to Japan, not Mexico.

The guy's a charlatan that was basically throwing predictions at the wall till they stuck and is now hoping no one notices his failures.

I disagree. I've read some of his forecasts and he's getting better over time. He put Mexico within the sphere of possibilities.

I think there's something to his solar flare theory. It may not be the only the only piece, but it seems to be a piece. He'll have an uphill battle to fight but it's fun to read his stuff.

Actually, back in high school I did some statistics and found a link between tidal forces and earthquakes. Which is reasonable as the crust does flex a little.

An eclipse means the moon earth and sun are in a line which maximizes the net tidal forces. However, you can get the same impact from a lunar eclipse. It's also not much stronger than a normal full moon.

Anyway, the effect was not that strong, but I have seen it validated by other studies. The problem is say a 50% increase in odds for the next hour can be statistically significant, but the odds for a random hour are so low it's just not that useful.

PS: Best data was actually micro quakes near volcano's, but they are so tiny as to be mostly meaningless.

Are there studies on possible tidal effects (if any) that an eclipse situation could cause?

Sort of; they found that the probability of a quake along shallow thrust faults increases about 3x during full and new moons in general (of which an eclipse is a special case, with no special risk):

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affec...

Tides have an influence on earthquakes [1], but spring tides due to Sun and Moon lining up happen about twice a month, so I don't think that the Eclipse is a likely cause.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_triggering_of_earthquake...