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A comment on Houston is experiencing its third ‘500-year’ flood in 3 years. Parent comment

Re:Houston is experiencing its third ‘500-year’ flood in 3 y... by oso2k on Thursday August 31, 2017 @01:50PM (#15142235)
Probability is just a model in lieu of the actual data with many built-in assumptions. Probability is a shortcut finding, collecting or generating data. My point is, if you have the data or a very large faction thereof, use it. Don't guess using probabilities.
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Re:Houston is experiencing its third ‘500-year’ flood in 3 y... by quesera on Friday September 01, 2017 @10:44PM (#15153920)
Right, but it's really not about birthdays at all.

It's specifically about coincidences in a randomly distributed set.

It just says "birthday" in the common name because that's a relatable, if imperfect, example.

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