Anyway, Here is a simple description I snagged from google search [1]:
> The Drake Equation is: > N = R * fp * ne * fl * fi * fc * L > > where: > N = The number of broadcasting civilizations. > R = Average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in the Milky Way galaxy > fp = Fraction of stars that form planets > ne = Average number of habitable planets per star > fl = Fraction of habitable planets (ne) where life emerges > fi = Fraction of habitable planets with life where intelligent evolves > fc = Fraction of planets with intelligent life capable of interstellar communication > L = Years a civilization remains detectable
Now grab a pen and cocktail and make the math do whatever you want. I think that is you stick to realistic numbers you will get reasonably high values. But we might just disagree there.
[1] http://www.astrodigital.org/astronomy/drake_equation.html
Try a calculator [1] and puch in your pessimistic and see what chances you actually get. It is really hard to get 10^20 without just getting 0, and we know the chances are higher than 0.
1 - http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20120821-how-many-alien-worl...