Re:Houston is experiencing its third ‘500-year’ flood in 3 y...
by thaumasiotes on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @01:07AM
(#15129841)
In the terms of an example:
If you put 400 people in a room, the odds that no two of them share a birthday have gone all the way down to zero percent.
No matter how many independent cities you measure flooding in, you can never achieve a perfect 0 or 1 probability of (whatever), because the cities are independent.
We don't define "interesting" flooding in one city by reference to what happened in another city, so this situation is not described by the birthday paradox.
If you put 400 people in a room, the odds that no two of them share a birthday have gone all the way down to zero percent.
No matter how many independent cities you measure flooding in, you can never achieve a perfect 0 or 1 probability of (whatever), because the cities are independent.
We don't define "interesting" flooding in one city by reference to what happened in another city, so this situation is not described by the birthday paradox.