Re:Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?
by wuliwong on Monday August 07, 2017 @11:07AM
(#14948017)
I'm also confused by the public debt number. It is far higher now than in 2008.
Re:Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?
by kerkufle on Monday August 07, 2017 @11:59AM
(#14948499)
Thanks Obama!
Re:Show HN: Is the stock market going to crash?
by truffle_pig on Monday August 07, 2017 @11:32AM
(#14948225)
Thanks for bringing this up - turns out that was a bug. I've fixed it now so they're the same.
Looking at the individual ratings: - Household Debt: 5.5 / 10 - Market Overvaluation: 9.1/10 - Market Volatility: 0.3/10 - Public Debt: 3.7/10 --> SUM = 18.6/40 or 46.5%
Also I noted: Drawing a linear trend line through the "Market Overvaluation" diagram, does make it look a lot better though. One could argue that people get used to certain levels, hence a growing trend over time.
Taking only these factors into account, it does not look like the market is gonna crash soon. In my opinion it's likely going to be caused by another factor not listed here ;)