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Re:The Louisiana Environmental Apocalypse Road Trip by eksemplar on Sunday August 06, 2017 @01:25PM (#14942272)
That's not how probability works, and the risk of developing cancer isn't stable throughout your life, it increases significantly with age.
Re:The Louisiana Environmental Apocalypse Road Trip by lisper on Sunday August 06, 2017 @02:08PM (#14942518)
Yes, I know that. That analysis was a bit of a straw man. Like I said, the real problem is that I couldn't think of any interpretation under which that claim was plausible. Maybe that's simply due to a lack of imagination on my part, but the way to argue that is to present a plausible interpretation, not to simply proclaim that "that's not how probability works."