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Re:Scientists Design Solar Cell That Captures Nearly All Ene... by Retric on Wednesday July 12, 2017 @02:13PM (#14755009)
Sorry, I got into a habit of submit then edit on HN because we used to get errors if you waited to long. I did not think we would hit 10% by 2060, but I hope we hit 40%.

US coal use is down to where it was around 1930. Petroleum is around 1960's usage levels. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=26912

Natrual gas has spiked, but it's realitvly speaking less of a global warming threat due to C(x) H(x) turning into H20 (x) + C02 (x) which produces less CO2 per heating vs just C into CO2 from coal.

So, while there are a huge range of predictions. What happens in the next 20 years is more important than what's going on 40 - 60 years from now.

Re:Scientists Design Solar Cell That Captures Nearly All Ene... by jamesaross on Wednesday July 12, 2017 @03:30PM (#14755800)
Don't the inevitable methane leaks from natural gas create more of a GHG effect than the CO2 emitted from burning it? It's not just the environment disasters like in California, but everyday minor leaks.
Re:Scientists Design Solar Cell That Captures Nearly All Ene... by Retric on Wednesday July 12, 2017 @04:39PM (#14756453)
Methane has a short half life in the atmosphere ~10 years ish and there is already quite a bit of it there. So, it's only really important when the amount released is increasing relative to the average released over the last 20 year. AKA if they cut release in 20 years then (ed: it's contribution to) temperature would drop fairly quickly. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_methane

Note it does break down into more CO2 than the wieght of Methane because Oxygen molecules are heavy.

The real risk is if warming the arctic starts to release a lot of stored methane, which would be very bad.

Re:Scientists Design Solar Cell That Captures Nearly All Ene... by hwillis on Wednesday July 12, 2017 @04:29PM (#14756351)
They are not insignificant (right now, they're just a bit more than the methane from livestock) but the CO2 is emitted in much greater amounts.