Re:Ask HN: How soon will electric cars replace gasoline cars?
by bradknowles on Sunday July 02, 2017 @03:28AM
(#14681346)
In a sense, they already have. The future is here, today -- it is just unevenly distributed.
Tesla exists as a car company. GM is making battery-powered electric vehicles. So is Nissan. And every car manufacturer that isn't, is at least seriously looking into it, or has a project in the works that we haven't yet heard about.
So, for some people, that replacement has already happened.
The more interesting question is, when are car companies going to stop producing any more internal combustion engine vehicles? When are oil companies going to stop drilling for oil, and processing that into gasoline.
I've heard lots of estimates and wild theories about these latter questions, and I don't have any hard answers for you in this realm. I can say that I think we are going to turn the corner faster than a lot of people realize, and that this time frame will be measured in a relatively short number of years, or maybe a couple of decades.
Tesla exists as a car company. GM is making battery-powered electric vehicles. So is Nissan. And every car manufacturer that isn't, is at least seriously looking into it, or has a project in the works that we haven't yet heard about.
So, for some people, that replacement has already happened.
The more interesting question is, when are car companies going to stop producing any more internal combustion engine vehicles? When are oil companies going to stop drilling for oil, and processing that into gasoline.
I've heard lots of estimates and wild theories about these latter questions, and I don't have any hard answers for you in this realm. I can say that I think we are going to turn the corner faster than a lot of people realize, and that this time frame will be measured in a relatively short number of years, or maybe a couple of decades.