Poverty is not a personal choice, but a reflection of society

Re:Poverty is not a personal choice, but a reflection of soc... by function_seven on Saturday July 01, 2017 @03:54AM (#14675946)

Different pundits had different odds on that race. No matter which one you go with, what makes you think those odds weren’t true facts?

Remember, n=1 in this scenario.

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Re:Poverty is not a personal choice, but a reflection of soc... by haberman on Saturday July 01, 2017 @02:02PM (#14678140)

You can look at:

1. the specific circumstances of the outcome. Hillary Clinton didn't lose just barely, she lost by a lot. And she lost states like Wisconsin, which wasn't even supposed to be in play.

2. the fact that predictions like HuffPo's were far off from more credible pundits like 538.

3. the fact that HuffPo so aggressively mocked anyone who took a more measured view. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_us_...

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Re:Poverty is not a personal choice, but a reflection of soc... by function_seven on Saturday July 01, 2017 @09:46PM (#14680321)

Drilling down to the state level is a good way to really trash those "predictions" from HuffPo. 538 really did get it right. They constantly noted the high correlation among related states, saying that if the polls are wrong in MI, they'd probably be wrong by the same amount in WI and PA. And that's exactly what happened.

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