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Re:After 3072 hours of manipulating BGP, a Nyancat was drawn... by jgg7 on Friday June 23, 2017 @09:42PM (#14623972)
Your understanding is mostly correct. Whether or not traffic directed to any of the /24s involved "would have eventually reached the destination" is undetermined (and possibly irrelevant), meaning it's both possible and not possible. We simply don't know. Speaking strictly about "internet routing" (BGP in this case), it is 100% possible for an announcement to send traffic through an AS which literally dumps it on the floor -- it's happened many times over the years (the Pakistan/Youtube one was noticed by many): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BGP_hijacking#Public_incidents

The question is whether or not the /16 (of which most of the advertised/withdrawn /24s make up) was used by actual devices, or if it's address space NTT has yet to use. If it is assigned to NTT but unused space, then effectively no harm done. If it's actually used IP space, then that would be very inappropriate.

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