Re:The New York Times Is Eliminating Its Public Editor Role
by untog on Thursday June 01, 2017 @11:06PM
(#14467129)
> Dude, that guy who was supposed to lose by 90% chance actually DID win.
Again, that's how probabilities work. Unless the prediction was 100% Hillary win then a Trump win is possible. This isn't a new concept, it happens in sports all the time. Odds are offered for betting, and every now and then there are upsets. That doesn't mean the odds are nonsense.
What's the alternative? News organisations never even attempt to gauge whose campaign is more popular? I don't think that's realistic.
Again, that's how probabilities work. Unless the prediction was 100% Hillary win then a Trump win is possible. This isn't a new concept, it happens in sports all the time. Odds are offered for betting, and every now and then there are upsets. That doesn't mean the odds are nonsense.
What's the alternative? News organisations never even attempt to gauge whose campaign is more popular? I don't think that's realistic.