Re:China Can’t Sustain Its Debt-Fueled Binge, Moody’s Says
by mistermann on Thursday May 25, 2017 @02:53PM
(#14419278)
I'm probably a bit naive, but I don't really understand why it would be that difficult. You have an extremely hard working populace with powerful aspirations (viewing their countrymen who've risen up from poverty), they have the technology and manufacturing prowess, natural resources, political will and experience, money....if any country in the history of the world was in a position to do it, China seems like the very well best prepared by far. The biggest hurdles I can think of is the cultural propensity for corruption and excessive savings, far from insurmountable imho.
Sure, it may not be "easy", but is it hard?
Re:China Can’t Sustain Its Debt-Fueled Binge, Moody’s Says
by yxhuvud on Thursday May 25, 2017 @05:53PM
(#14420440)
> political will
No, they really don't have any political will to do anything about the SEOs. That is why their debt is still ballooning in an unsustainable manner. Just as Japan didn't, and the Japanese economy is still held back by keeping failing business afloat. The entrenched elite is just too strong, in both Japan and China.
China may overcome the issues in a way Japan didn't, but the things you list apart from the political will (that they emphatically doesn't have) is plain irrelevant.
So yes, grandparent's point is correct, that there's room for consumer-led GDP growth. But the mechanism for how to get there is not easy. (And it's something Pettis has written about extensively.)