Ask HN: How do you invest your money?

Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by carsongross on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @02:45PM (#14258808)

Being 50% in treasuries right now is not particularly conservative. The Schiller P/E ratio was only higher in 1929 and 1999:

http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/

So, broadly, equities look like a pretty bad deal right now.

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by the_gastropod on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @03:09PM (#14259035)

The Schiller P/E has historically been pretty useful, but it's not a great tool for comparing pre 2001 and post 2001 market valuations because of changes in GAAP. Check out http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/shiller/ for a more in depth explanation.

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by itamarst on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @08:26PM (#14261469)

There's also q, which has same result as Shiller P/E 10 but is calculated very differently: http://smithers.co.uk/page.php?id=34

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by carsongross on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @03:55PM (#14259419)

Thanks for the link, interesting read.

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by ryanwaggoner on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @04:49PM (#14259923)

I don't time the market. Studies are really clear that people suck at it. You may be convinced you're the exception. I'm convinced that I'm not :)

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by carsongross on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @06:08PM (#14260648)

That's certainly a reasonable position.

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Re:Ask HN: How do you invest your money? by ryanwaggoner on Thursday May 04, 2017 @04:59PM (#14268766)

I'm going to start responding to people who disagree like this :)

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