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Re:Should I fire an engineer for working on his side project... by coldtea on Friday April 28, 2017 @01:54PM (#14221573)
>Since it's both logical and fits with 20 years of observed experience

The famous example Taleb uses in his book is the Thanksgiving turkey.

"Consider a turkey that is fed every day," Taleb writes. "Every single feeding will firm up the bird's belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race 'looking out for its best interests,' as a politician would say.

"On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief."

http://www.businessinsider.com/nassim-talebs-black-swan-than...

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