Re:The Myth of a Superhuman AI
by ben_w on Thursday April 27, 2017 @01:52PM
(#14213420)
Your example is from 1977, we've had 40 years of Moore's law since then. In the time it takes for you to recognise that you're even looking at a number (~0.08 seconds), the cheapest computer you can buy (the $5 Raspberry Pi Zero) can do around 1.92 billion normal floating maths operations. Sure, 201-digit numbers are a little slower — on my laptop, in Python, I can only do that particular calculation just under one hundred million times in the fifty seconds it took her to do it once.
But you're right to say calculators are single purpose devices and that's magically inserting the question.
So I downloaded sklearn, which contains a set of labelled hand-written digits.
It takes about 0.17-0.2 seconds for my laptop to learn to read numbers, from scratch, and thereafter it can read digits at a rate of about 8,200 per second.
For reference, "a blink of an eye" is 0.1-0.4 seconds depending on who you ask.
Dollar store calculator? I'd never have said that myself because I know calculators are rubbish. But in the context of "AI: Will it ever beat humans?" hell yes, it will and in many cases it already does.
But you're right to say calculators are single purpose devices and that's magically inserting the question.
So I downloaded sklearn, which contains a set of labelled hand-written digits.
It takes about 0.17-0.2 seconds for my laptop to learn to read numbers, from scratch, and thereafter it can read digits at a rate of about 8,200 per second.
For reference, "a blink of an eye" is 0.1-0.4 seconds depending on who you ask.
Dollar store calculator? I'd never have said that myself because I know calculators are rubbish. But in the context of "AI: Will it ever beat humans?" hell yes, it will and in many cases it already does.